Inviting EA forecasters to AI forecasting platform

byjacobjacob5mo30th Jan 20191 comment


Me (Jacob Lagerros) and Ben Goldhaber received funding from the Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative to work on using forecasting to support better decision-making on x-risk.

As a first step, we're currently inviting beta users to an AI forecasting platform, which aims to support the decision-making of AI safety/policy organisations.

The platform is live, and has users including superforecasters and researchers from OpenAI, UC Berkeley and more.

We award biweekly prizes of $400 and $200 to top commenters, and run biweekly online workshops to collaborate on improve our models and forecasting performance.

We're looking for EAs with a strong track-record of forecasting (in general, not just for AI), or of thinking about AI progress in a quantitative manner.

To apply, please fill in this form.