Global catastrophic risk

Beckstead,Bostrom, Nick (2015)& Milan Ćirković (eds.) (2008) The long-term significance of reducing global catastrophic risksGlobal Catastrophic Risks, Open Philanthropy, August 13.
A blog post investigating the extent to which global catastrophic risks might have long-term or potentially existential consequences.

Berger, Alexander (2014) Potential global catastrophic risk focus areas, Open Philanthropy, June 26.Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Kemp, Luke & Catherine Rhodes (2020) The cartography of global catastrophic governance, report, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk.

Open Philanthropy (2014)(2016) Global catastrophic risks, Open Philanthropy, February .
An investigation into the importance of global catastrophic risks.March 2.

A global catastrophic risk (GCR) is an event that poses a risk of major harm on a global scale (Bostrom & Ćirković 2008).scale.^[1]

Some GCRs which are not themselves existential risks could still increase existential risk via their indirect effects. Such GCRs may be regarded as existential risk factors, or as components of a compound existential risk. Arguably, climate change might increase political tensions, hastening nuclear or biological warfare. Alternatively, civilization could eventually rebound to something like its previous state. The Black Death—the deadliest catastrophe in human history—killed something like 10% of the world’s population without obviously affecting humanity’s long-term potential (Muehlhauser 2017).potential.^[2]

BibliographyFurther reading

Bostrom, Nick & Milan Ćirković (eds.) (2008) Global Catastrophic Risks, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Muehlhauser, Luke (2017) How big a deal was the Industrial Revolution?, Luke Muehlhauser’s Website.

Open Philanthropy (2014) Global catastrophic risks, Open Philanthropy, February .
An investigation into the importance of global catastrophic risks.

Kemp, Luke & Catherine Rhodes (2020) The cartography of global catastrophic governance, Cambridge:report, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk.

Open Philanthropy (2014) Global catastrophic risks, Open Philanthropy, February .
An investigation into the importance of global catastrophic risks.

1. ^{^}

   Bostrom, Nick & Milan Ćirković (eds.) (2008) Global Catastrophic Risks, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

2. ^{^}

   Muehlhauser, Luke (2017) How big a deal was the Industrial Revolution?, Luke Muehlhauser’s Website.

Cotton-Barratt, Owen et al. (2016) Global catastrophic risks 2016, Global Challenges Foundation/Global Priorities Project.
A report examining various types of global catastrophic risk.

Bostrom, Nick & Milan Ćirković (eds.) (2008) Global Catastrophic Risks, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Some GCRs which are not themselves existential risks could still increase existential risk via their indirect effects. Such GCRs may then be regarded as existential risk factors, or as components of a compound existential risk. Arguably, climate change might increase political tensions, hastening nuclear or biological warfare. Alternatively, civilization could eventually rebound to something like its previous state. The Black Death—the deadliest catastrophe in human history—killed something like 10% of the world’s population without obviously affecting humanity’s long-term potential (Muehlhauser 2017).

GCRs risks include existential risks,include, but are not restricted to them.to, existential risks. Examples of non-existential global catastrophic risksGCRs include risks of hundreds of millions (but not billions) of people dying due to a natural pandemic or due to anthropogenic climate change.

Some think that theseGCRs could increase existential risk via their indirect effectseffects. Such GCRs may then be regarded as existential risk factors, or as components of catastrophic risks might result ina compound existential risks. For instance,risk. Arguably, climate change might increase political tensions, hastening nuclear or biological warfare. Others think it’s more likely thatAlternatively, civilization willcould eventually rebound to something like it’sits previous state. Both The Black Death—the Black Death and the Plague of Justinian deadliest catastrophe in human history—killed something like 15%10% of the world’s population without obviously derailingaffecting humanity’s long-term potential.potential (Muehlhauser 2017).

Muehlhauser, Luke (2017) How big a deal was the Industrial Revolution?, Luke Muehlhauser’s Website.

civilizational collapse and recovery | existential risk | existential risk factor | global catastrophic biological risk | Nuclear Threat Initiative | warning shot

Avin, Shahar et al. (2018) Classifying global catastrophic risks, Futures, vol. 102, pp. 20–26.

Berger, Alexander (2014) Potential global catastrophic risk focus areas, Open Philanthropy, June 26.

Kemp, Luke & Catherine Rhodes (2020) The cartography of global catastrophic governance, Cambridge: Centre for the Study of Existential Risk.

Koehler, Arden & Keiran Harris (2020) Owen Cotton-Barratt on epistemic systems & layers of defence against potential global catastrophes, 80,000 Hours, December 16.

A global catastrophic risk (GCR) is an event that poses a risk of major harm on a global scale.

Global catastrophic risks include all risks with the potential to cause serious harm on a global scale (Bostrom & Ćirković 2008). Such

GCRs risks include existential risks, but are not restricted to them. Examples of non-existential global catastrophic risks include risks of hundreds of millions (but not billions) of people dying due to a natural pandemic or due to climate change.

Bostrom, Nick & Milan Ćirković (2008) Global catastrophic risksCatastrophic Risks, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

A global catastrophic risk (GCR) (GCR) is an event that poses a risk of major harm on a global scale.