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AI forecasting

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2evelynciara
2MichaelA
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AI forecasting includes trying to predict a variety of outcomes related to AI, such as when human-level AI will emerge (AI timelines) and what impacts it will have.

AI alignment | AI governance | AI Impacts | estimating existential risk | forecasting | long-range forecasting

Posts tagged AI forecasting
Most Relevant
4
136Survey on AI existential risk scenarios
SamClarke, Alexis Carlier, jonasschuett
2mo
5
4
63Report on Whether AI Could Drive Explosive Economic Growth
Tom_Davidson
1mo
3
4
42Why AI is Harder Than We Think - Melanie Mitchell
evelynciara
3mo
6
2
110Long-Term Future Fund: May 2021 grant recommendations
abergal
2mo
15
2
83AMA: Ajeya Cotra, researcher at Open Phil
Ajeya
6mo
107
2
80Some thoughts on David Roodman’s GWP model and its relation to AI timelines
Tom_Davidson
10d
3
2
76Draft report on existential risk from power-seeking AI
Joe_Carlsmith
3mo
33
2
76"Existential risk from AI" survey results
RobBensinger
2mo
35
2
62Report on Semi-informative Priors for AI timelines (Open Philanthropy)
Tom_Davidson
4mo
6
2
60Discontinuous progress in history: an update
AI Impacts
1y
3
2
52Effects of anti-aging research on the long-term future
Matthew_Barnett
1y
33
2
52My attempt to think about AI timelines
Ben_Snodin
2mo
20
2
43Vignettes Workshop (AI Impacts)
kokotajlod
1mo
5
2
41Against GDP as a metric for timelines and takeoff speeds
kokotajlod
7mo
6
2
39On AI and Compute
johncrox
2y
12