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Forecasting can help us get a better sense of what will happen in the future, so that we can prepare appropriately. It is a significant aspect of EA strategy around pandemic preparedness (see biosecurity), AI alignment, animal product alternatives, and many other topics.


Kokotajlo, Daniel (2019) Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post, AI Impacts.

AI forecasting | estimating existential risk | improving institutional decision-making | long-range forecasting | Metaculus | model uncertainty | prediction markets | value of information...

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