Discuss the wiki-tag on this page. Here is the place to ask questions and propose changes.
Apparently an econ PhD student called Joel Becker will be working on (among other things) "[exploring] the accuracy of long-term forecasts in simulated environments (e.g. real history with blinded participants, games with different time horizons)." (source) He has been given funding from the LTFF.
I felt like it'd be good to jot that info down here to increase that chance that, if and when Joel has published something on that (or done a talk, been on a podcast, etc.), something about it can be tagged or included in the Bibliography here.
I think this entry/tag should "subsume"/"cover" the epistemic challenge to longtermism. I.e., I think that:
(Pablo and I discussed this here.)