Nuclear warfare

Baum, Seth D., Robert De Neufville & Anthony M. Barrett (2018) A model for the probability of nuclear war, working paper 18-1, Global Catastrophic Risk Institute.

Baum, Seth D. & Anthony M. Barrett (2018) A model for the impacts of nuclear war, working paper 18-2, Global Catastrophic Risk Institute.

Cotton-Barratt, Owen et al. (2016)Cirincione, Joseph (2008) Global catastrophic risks 2016The continuing threat of nuclear war, Annual Report, in Nick Bostrom & Milan M. Ćirković (eds.) Global Challenges Foundation/Global Priorities Project.
A report focusing on risks from nuclear war, as well as other types of global catastrophic risk.Catastrophic Risks
, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Baum, Seth D. & Anthony M. Barrett (2018) A model for the impacts of nuclear war, working paper 18-2, Global Catastrophic Risk Institute.

Robock, Alan (2010) http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/WiresClimateChangeNW.pdfNuclear winter, WIREs Climate Change, vol. 1, pp. 418–427.

 

External Links

http://gcrinstitute.org/papers/043_nuclear-impacts.pdf

 

Nuclear war is potentially the primary near-term anthropogenic existential risk. Nuclear war would probably not cause human extinction through the direct damage of an exchange. Rather, researchers are concerned about the potential for a nuclear winter:winter: firestorms caused by the explosions could release particulate matter into the atmosphere,stratosphere, causing significant global cooling which would last for several years. This cooling would disrupt global agriculture, which mightwould likely kill evenmany more people than the initial exchange.exchange (Robock 2010).

http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/WiresClimateChangeNW.pdf

 

External Links

http://gcrinstitute.org/papers/043_nuclear-impacts.pdf

 

Evaluation

80,000 Hours rates  nuclear security a "second-highest priority area": an unusually pressing global problem ranked slightly below their four highest priority areas (80,000 Hours 2021).

80,000 Hours (2021) Our current list of the most important world problems, 80,000 Hours.

Nuclear warfare is military conflict involving the deployment of nuclear weapons.weapons.