All of Jenny_Xiao's Comments + Replies

Thanks for the recommendations! Glad to see that you've compiled an IR reading list related to EA causes.

I am very uncertain about these predictions but would love to hear your thoughts!

Here are a couple of thoughts from an IR perspective: 

Case 1: 50% population loss, no infrastructure damage, no climate change (e.g. a limited pandemic)

  • The nation-state system is likely to remain intact, aside from a few states that have been totally depopulated. 
  • A fundamental reorganization of the global balance-of-power (might lead to the total demise of current superpowers like the US and China), which would cause a collapse of the international order (no more UN, no more meaningful alliance arrangements).
  • If resources are damaged, we will like
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