Creating superintelligent artificial agents without a worldwide referendum is ethically unjustifiable. Until a consensus is reached on whether to bring into existence such technology, a global moratorium is required (n.b. we already have AGI).
Very quick thoughts on setting time aside for strategy, planning and implementation, since I'm into my 4th week of strategy development and experiencing intrusive thoughts about needing to hurry up on implementation;
In conclusion, 6 weeks on strategy and planning seems about right. 2 weeks would have been too short, 10 weeks would have been too long, this porridge is juuuussttt rightttt.
keen for feedback from people in similar positions.
Relatedly, when I worked in ad agencies I'd always tell my clients to avoid putting their products on discount. The research I've read shows they:
1. don't impact long term sales
2. tend to just attract people who would've bought anyway (but at a lower price)
3. get people used to buying at a lower price
"a brand's normal-price buyers are a major source of its volume from price promotions" https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321247500_Buying_Brands_at_Both_Regular_Price_and_on_Promotion_over_Time
I think matching could be like discounts / price promotions (i'd guess at ~ 50% this is happening); you're just moving money around different timelines and having other negative effectives on your brand.
Thanks for taking the time to point this out Michael :) I appreciate it.
Some quick thoughts:
Anyway, thanks again for taking the time!
"Is it true that OpenAI has claimed that they aren't making anything dangerous and aren't likely to do so in the future? Where have they said this?"
Related > AFAICT they've also never said "We're aiming to make the thing that has a substantial chance of causing the end of humanity". I think that is a far more important point.
There are two obvious ways to be dishonest: tell a lie or not tell the truth. This falls into the latter category.
Two jobs in AI Safety Advocacy that AFAICT don't exist, but should and probably will very soon. Will EAs be the first to create them though? There is a strong first mover advantage waiting for someone -
1. Volunteer Coordinator - there will soon be a groundswell from the general population wanting to have a positive impact in AI. Most won't know how to. A volunteer manager will help capture and direct their efforts positively, for example, by having them write emails to politicians
2. Partnerships Manager - the President of the Voice Actors guild reached out to me recently. We had a very surprising number of cross over in concerns and potential solutions. Voice Actors are the canary in the coal mine. More unions (etc) will follow very shortly. I imagine within 1 year there will be a formalised group of these different orgs advocating together.