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Estimate elicitation and crowdsourcing

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Applied to How much can we learn from other people's guesses? 18d ago
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Applied to Straightforwardly eliciting probabilities from GPT-3 2mo ago
brook v1.3.0Nov 28th 2022 (+33/-10) 1

Fermifermi estimate | cause prioritization | expected value | forecasting | impact assessment | model uncertainty | prediction markets | value of information | polismanifold markets | metaculus

brook v1.2.0Nov 3rd 2022 (+8) 1

Fermi estimate | cause prioritization | expected value | forecasting | impact assessment | model uncertainty | prediction markets | value of information | polis

Lizka v1.1.0Oct 28th 2022 (+259/-95) 2

Posts about the use of crowdsourcingEstimate elicitation and crowdsourcing, or other means of eliciting estimates from other people in order to achieve better estimates.people, can be helpful for more accurate estimation. 

Related entries

Fermi estimate | cause prioritization | expected value | forecasting | impact assessment | model uncertainty | prediction markets | value of information

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Applied to An experiment eliciting relative estimates for Open Philanthropy’s 2018 AI safety grants 6mo ago
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Applied to Project: A web platform for crowdsourcing impact estimates of interventions. 9mo ago
Harrison Durland v1.0.0Jun 28th 2022 (+130) 2

Posts about the use of crowdsourcing or other means of eliciting estimates from other people in order to achieve better estimates.

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Created by Harrison Durland at 9mo