Estimation of existential risk
•
Applied to Survey on intermediate goals in AI governance 7mo ago
•
Applied to Excerpts from "Doing EA Better" on x-risk methodology 8mo ago
•
Applied to Existential Risk Modelling with Continuous-Time Markov Chains 8mo ago
•
•
Applied to Normalcy bias and Base rate neglect: Bias in Evaluating AGI X-Risks 9mo ago
•
Applied to Reactive devaluation: Bias in Evaluating AGI X-Risks 9mo ago
•
Applied to Bandwagon effect: Bias in Evaluating AGI X-Risks
9mo ago
•
Applied to Mere exposure effect:
Bias in Evaluating AGI X-Risks 9mo ago
•
Applied to How to reconsider a prediction 1y ago
•
Applied to Probability of extinction for various types of catastrophes 1y ago
Bostrom, Nick (2002) Existential risks: Analyzing human extinction scenarios and related hazards, Journal of evolution and technology, vol. 9.
The section “Assessing the Probability of Existential Risks” discusses methods of existential risk estimation.
•
Applied to Request for proposals: Help Open Philanthropy quantify biological risk 1y ago
Estimation of existential risk is the set of methods for assessing the probability of human extinction and other existential catastrophes.