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Expected value
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Exploring Ergodicity in the Context of Longtermism
1mo
ago
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[Linkpost] Leif Wenar's The Deaths of Effective Altruism
1mo
ago
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In Cost-Effectiveness Analyses, when should we take the Expected Value?
1mo
ago
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Expected value and uncertainty without full Monte Carlo simulations
4mo
ago
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Summary: In Defence of Fanaticism (Hayden Wilkinson)
4mo
ago
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Shapley values: an introductory example
5mo
ago
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1/E(X) is not E(1/X)
6mo
ago
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How bad would human extinction be?
6mo
ago
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Causes and Uncertainty: Rethinking Value in Expectation
7mo
ago
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Arguments for utilitarianism are impossibility arguments under unbounded prospects
7mo
ago
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Thought experiment: Trading off risk, intragenerational and intergenerational inequality, and fairness
8mo
ago
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Probabilities, Prioritization, and 'Bayesian Mindset'
1y
ago
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Cos’è il valore atteso (expected value)
1y
ago
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We can't put numbers on everything and trying to weakens our collective epistemics
1y
ago
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Model-Based Policy Analysis under Deep Uncertainty
1y
ago
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What is so wrong with the "dogmatic" solution to recklessness?
1y
ago
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Protecting EV calculations against motivated reasoning
1y
ago
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Do Brains Contain Many Conscious Subsystems? If So, Should We Act Differently?
1y
ago
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Should strong longtermists really want to minimize existential risk?
1y
ago