Macrostrategy

Applied to AGI and Lock-In 1y ago

Macrostrategy as a field of research was pioneered by Nick Bostrom, and it is a core focus area of the Future of Humanity Institute.[2] Some authors distinguish between "foundational" and "applied" global priorities research.[3] On this distinction, macrostrategy may be regarded as closely related to the former. It is concerned with the assessment of general hypotheses such as the hinge of history hypothesis, the vulnerable world hypothesis and the technological completion conjecture; the development of conceptual tools such as the concepts of existential risk, of a crucial consideration and of differential progress; and the analysis of the impacts and capabilities of future technologies such as artificial general intelligence, whole brain emulation  and atomically precise manufacturing, but considered at a higher level of abstraction than is generally the case in cause prioritization research.

Macrostrategy is the study of how present-day actions may influence the long-term future of humanity (Bostrom 2021).humanity.[1]

Macrostrategy as a field of research was pioneered by Nick Bostrom, and it is a core focus area of the Future of Humanity Institute (2021).[2] Some authors distinguish between "foundational" and "applied" global priorities research (Duda 2016).[3] On this distinction, macrostrategy may be regarded as closely related to the former. It is concerned with the assessment of general hypotheses such as the hinge of history hypothesis, the vulnerable world hypothesis and the technological completion conjecture; the development of conceptual tools such as the concepts of existential risk, of a crucial consideration and of differential progress; and the analysis of the impacts and capabilities of future technologies such as artificial general intelligence, whole brain emulation  and atomically precise manufacturing, but considered at a higher level of abstraction than is generally the case in cause prioritization research.

BibliographyFurther reading

Bostrom, Nick (2021) Home page, Nick Bostrom’s Website.

Duda, Roman (2016) Global priorities research, 80,000 Hours, April (updated July 2018).

Future of Humanity Institute (2021) Research areas, Future of Humanity Institute.

  1. ^

    Bostrom, Nick (2021) Home page, Nick Bostrom’s Website.

  2. ^

    Future of Humanity Institute (2021) Research areas, Future of Humanity Institute.

  3. ^

    Duda, Roman (2016) Global priorities research, 80,000 Hours, April (updated July 2018).

Applied to Truthful AI 2y ago