Aguirre, Anthony (2016) Predicting the future (of life), Future of Life Institute, January 24.
Aguirre, Anthony (2021) A primer on the Metaculus scoring rule, Medium, February 27.
dan (2020) A preliminary look at Metaculus and expert forecasts, Metaculus, June 2.
Hobbhahn, Marius (2022) How good were our AI timeline predictions so far?, Metaculus, April 10.
Metaculus is a reputation-based site for soliciting and aggregating predictions. It was founded in November 2015 by astrophysicist Anthony Aguirre, cosmologist Greg Laughlin and data scientist Max Wainwright (Mann 2016; Shelton 2016).Wainwright.[1][2]
Metaculus is a reputation-based site for soliciting and aggregating predictions. It was founded in November 2015 by astrophysicist Anthony Aguirre, cosmologist Greg Laughlin and data scientist Max Wainwright (Mann 2016; Shelton 2016).[1][2]
Metaculus. Official website.
AI forecasting | forecasting | prediction markets
Mann, Adam (2016) The power of prediction markets, Nature, October 18.
Shelton, Jim (2016) Metaculus: A prediction website with an eye on science and technology, YaleNews, November 2.
Metaculus. Official website.
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