Metaculus

Aguirre, Anthony (2016) Predicting the future (of life), Future of Life Institute, January 24.

Aguirre, Anthony (2021) A primer on the Metaculus scoring rule, Medium, February 27.

dan (2020) A preliminary look at Metaculus and expert forecasts, Metaculus, June 2.

Hobbhahn, Marius (2022) How good were our AI timeline predictions so far?, Metaculus, April 10.

Metaculus is a reputation-based site for soliciting and aggregating predictions. It was founded in November 2015 by astrophysicist Anthony Aguirre, cosmologist Greg Laughlin and data scientist Max Wainwright (Mann 2016; Shelton 2016).Wainwright.[1][2]

Metaculus is a reputation-based site for soliciting and aggregating predictions. It was founded in November 2015 by astrophysicist Anthony Aguirre, cosmologist Greg Laughlin and data scientist Max Wainwright (Mann 2016; Shelton 2016).[1][2]

BibliographyFurther reading

External links

Metaculus. Official website.

Related entries

AI forecasting | forecasting | prediction markets

  1. ^

    Mann, Adam (2016) The power of prediction markets, Nature, October 18.

  2. ^

    Shelton, Jim (2016) Metaculus: A prediction website with an eye on science and technology, YaleNews, November 2.

    External links

    Metaculus. Official website.

    Related entries

    AI forecasting | forecasting | prediction markets