Metaculus

A video introduction to Metaculus is also available[4].

As of August 2022, Metaculus has received $5.6 million in grants from Open Philanthropy,[4]5] and over $300,000 from Effective Altruism Funds.[5]6]

  1. ^

    Mann, Adam (2016) The power of prediction markets, Nature, October 18.

  2. ^
  3. ^

    Metaculus, Tutorials

  4. ^

    Brook, Victoria (2022), Metaculus Tutorial, Loom

  5. ^

    Open Philanthropy (2022) Grants database: Metaculus, Open Philanthropy.

  6. ^

    Effective Altruism Infrastructure Fund (2021) May-August 2021: EA Infrastructure Fund grants, Effective Altruism Funds, August.

The official Metaculus tutorials (link below)[3] are suitable for beginners as a way to introduce forecasting, probability distributions, and a basic understanding of how to behave under uncertainty. 

As of August 2022, Metaculus has received $5.6 million in grants from Open Philanthropy,[3]4] and over $300,000 from Effective Altruism Funds.[4]5]

  1. ^

    Mann, Adam (2016) The power of prediction markets, Nature, October 18.

  2. ^
  3. ^

    Metaculus, Tutorials

  4. ^

    Open Philanthropy (2022) Grants database: Metaculus, Open Philanthropy.

  5. ^

    Effective Altruism Infrastructure Fund (2021) May-August 2021: EA Infrastructure Fund grants, Effective Altruism Funds, August.

The official Metaculus tutorials (link below) are suitable for beginners as a way to introduce forecasting, probability distributions, and a basic understanding of how to behave under uncertainty.