Nuclear security

Recommendations

In The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, Toby Ord offers several policy and research recommendations for handling risks from nuclear weapons:[2]

  • Restart the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF).
  • Take US ICBMs off hair-trigger alert (officially called Launch on Warning).
  • Increase the capacity of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to verify nations are complying with safeguards agreements.
  • Work on resolving the key uncertainties in nuclear winter modeling.
  • Characterize the remaining uncertainties then use Monte Carlo techniques to show the distribution of outcome possibilities, with a special focus on the worst-case possibilities compatible with our current understanding.
  • Investigate which parts of the world appear most robust to the effects of nuclear winter and how likely civilization is to continue there.
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    Ord, Toby (2020) The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, London: Bloomsbury Publishing, p. 278

Applied to Ask a Nuclear Expert by Leo at 3mo