Speeding up development
•
Applied to What is Progress and Why I think social science is the key to the future. 10mo ago
•
Applied to Why aren't we looking at the stars? 1y ago
•
•
Applied to Humanity’s vast future and its implications for cause prioritization 2y ago
•
Applied to Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny 2y ago
•
Applied to How to Accelerate Technological Progress - New Things Under the Sun 3y ago
•
Applied to Thoughts on “The Case for Strong Longtermism” (Greaves & MacAskill) 3y ago
•
Applied to Robert Wiblin: Making sense of long-term indirect effects 3y ago
•
Applied to 'Existential Risk and Growth' Deep Dive #3 - Extensions and Variations 3y ago
•
Applied to 'Existential Risk and Growth' Deep Dive #1 - Summary of the Paper 3y ago
Beckstead
(2013)describes speeding up development as one of three main types of benefits from attempts to improve the world, with the other two being "trajectory changes" (including existential risk reduction) and "proximate benefits" (meaning "the fairly short-run, fairly predictable benefits that we ordinarily think about when we cure some child's blindness, save a life, or help an old lady cross the street").[1]Some people have argued that speeding up development is in itself the best way to improve the long-term future. One argument that could be made for this position is that every delay to development causes astronomical waste. However, others have argued that we should instead focus on trajectory changes because roughly "where we end up" matters more than "how fast we get there"
(Todd, 2017; see also Bostrom, 2003).[2][3]BibliographyBeckstead, Nick (2013)A proposed adjustment to the astronomical waste argument,Effective Altruism Forum, May 27.Bostrom, Nick (2003)Astronomical waste: the opportunity cost of delayed technological development,Utilitas, vol. 15, pp. 308–314.Todd, Benjamin (2017)The case for reducing existential risks,80,000 Hours, October.Beckstead, Nick (2013) A proposed adjustment to the astronomical waste argument, Effective Altruism Forum, May 27.
Todd, Benjamin (2017) The case for reducing existential risks, 80,000 Hours, October.
See also Bostrom, Nick (2003) Astronomical waste: the opportunity cost of delayed technological development, Utilitas, vol. 15, pp. 308–314.