Statistics

Applied to Prior X%—<1%: A quantified 'epistemic status' of your prediction. 3d ago

Applied to When pooling forecasts, use the geometric mean of odds 21d ago

Applied to How much do you believe your results? 1mo ago

Applied to Introducing Stanford’s new Humane & Sustainable Food Lab 1mo ago

Applied to Request: Datasets with measurement error and missing data? 2mo ago

Applied to Iqisa: A Library For Handling Forecasting Datasets 2mo ago

Applied to Making better estimates with scarce information 2mo ago

Applied to [Linkpost] Michael Huemer on the case for Bayesian statistics 4mo ago

Applied to Visualisation of Probability Mass 4mo ago

Applied to America’s 100 Charities receiving most donations 4mo ago

Applied to Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia 6mo ago

Applied to AI X-Risk: Integrating on the Shoulders of Giants 7mo ago

Applied to ‘Dissolving’ AI Risk – Parameter Uncertainty in AI Future Forecasting 8mo ago

Applied to A peek at pairwise preference estimation in economics, marketing, and statistics 8mo ago

Applied to Estimating value from pairwise comparisons 8mo ago

Applied to Political Science Quantitative Methods and EA 9mo ago

Applied to Updating on the passage of time and conditional prediction curves 10mo ago

Applied to Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading 1y ago

Applied to How to determine distribution parameters from quantiles 1y ago

Applied to When should the inverse-variance method be applied to distributions? 1y ago