All of Adam Binks's Comments + Replies

How would you gauge random undergrads' "EA potential"?

One consideration with your current question - might it be more impactful to move people from a 5 to a 9 on that question, by informing them about the principles of EA, rather than taking someone who's already a 9 to start with? Of course there's still value in pointing the 9 towards good resources, but you might expect them to find those themselves if they already care so much.

Type Checking GiveWell's GiveDirectly Cost Effective Analysis

Fascinating post, thank you! This was a great introduction to dimensional analysis for me.

CEA update: Q1 2021

Thanks for this, really interesting! I am surprised that the total attendance of fellowships isn't even higher - do you have a feel for whether they're typically constrained by mentors or signups? In my experience helping run fellowships, many people are surprisingly interested but haven't heard about EA, have you looked at ways to reach more of these people?

2JoanGass5moFor the large EA Virtual Program round, at first we were worried about having enough facilitators. But then we actually had quite a number of volunteer facilitators (over 100!) so then we focused on getting more participants. In the end we ended up having participant demand that matched available facilitators. As we mentioned, we're working to build more operations capacity for the virtual programs version of our fellowship. Once we do this, we hope to be able to offer them on a more consistent basis so more people can sign up.
A case against strong longtermism

I think this is a good point, I'm really enjoying all your comments in this thread:)

It strikes me that one way that the next century effects of our actions might be instrumentally useful is that they might give some (weak) evidence as to what the longer term effects might be.

All else equal, if some action causes a stable, steady positive effect each year for the next century, then I think that action is more likely to have a positive long term effect than some other action which has a negative effect in the next century. However this might be easily outweighed by specific reasons to think that the action's longer run effects will differ.

Ask Rethink Priorities Anything (AMA)

These are fascinating, I would love to see answers to all of these questions!

£4bn for the global poor: the UK's 0.7%

Alongside social media ads, could one possible strategy be asking highly motivated constituency members in targeted areas (eg EAs, people that email their MP) to post similar content to the ads, to local Facebook groups and their own social media networks? Zero cost, and might extend reach beyond paid adverts.

One risk is that if they're not very well informed they might misrepresent the message. In which case the campaign could provide materials for them to post (maybe identical to the ad content).

Please Take the 2020 EA Survey

I think my ethics are less considered than the average EA community member, so I think I'd rather defer the decision to them. Doesn't seem especially motivating for me personally.