All of Andaro's Comments + Replies

I would beware the political backlash and retaliation costs from #2. What you are classifying as "ethical flaws" is actually about agenda.

In a representative democracy, government spending is supposed to be allocated according to the best interests of tax payers, voters, and citizens. Of course those are human beings living in the relatively present time with citizenship in the respective country. Trying to game the system so that it starts allocating those resources differently is not fixing an ethical flaw, it's a shift in agenda that does not ... (read more)

2
Cullen
6y
I generally agree, which is why I explicitly acknowledge this in the post. But I also think you're mistaken about what's democratically feasible. The citizenry definitely gives a nonzero value to foreign lives (e.g., https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/05/04/americans-love-to-hate-foreign-aid-but-the-right-argument-makes-them-like-it-a-lot-more/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.208535615b42), but current CBA only weighs them quantitatively (which is as good as not at all). I really doubt that diminishing the discounting rate by a point or so would engender political backlash; most people presumably think we should care about the future too and in any case have no clue what the discount rate is. Basically, the social welfare function of the US citizenry is actually probably more cosmopolitan than current CBA. CBA is pretty well isolated from political scrutiny (most people have no idea what it is and it generally has bipartisan support), so I don't think minor positive adjustments are a big risk.

Read free stories online. The biggest cost is the effort to find the best 10% among all existing free stories. But those are very much worth reading and you can spend countless hours quite entertained, effectively free of cost.

Yet preventing such cases should not be lexically prior to any other consideration: we should be willing to gamble utopia against extinction at the chance of a single terrible life of 1/TREE(9).

I disagree; it is lexically, deontologically more important not to cause an innocent rape or nc torture victim than to cause any amount of happiness or utopian gain for others; also the number is absurd, terrible lives in the millions are a stochastical inevitability even just on Earth within each generation. Just look at the attempted suicide rates.

Statistical

... (read more)

critique of negative utilitarianism

Except I never argued for Negative Utilitarianism. Misrepresenting the arguments I made as such is a complete strawman.

For example, I don't believe there's a moral reason to prevent people who want pain and consent to it, from having pain.

Neither do I believe that there's a moral reason to prevent suffering for the guilty who have forced it on nonconsenting innocents. You, for example, have actively worked to cause it for a very large number of innocent nc victims, and therefore I do not believe there is a moral reason... (read more)

Nice exercise in goalpost-moving, kbog.

Look dude

Errrr, no.

(This is a long comment. Only the first four paragraphs are in direct response to you. The rest is still true and relevant, but more general. I don't expect a response.)

Childbirth is not an act of self-sacrifice. It never was. There was not even one altruistic childbirth in all of history. It was either involuntary for the female (vast majority) or self-serving (females wanting to have children, to bind a male in commitment, or to get on the good side of the guy who can and will literally burn you alive forever).

I'm not saying there is never any heroism if... (read more)

4
Gregory Lewis
6y
You go badly wrong in giving a concatenation of implausible beliefs into a generalized misanthropic conclusion (i.e. the future will suck, people on xrisk rationalise this away and just want status, etc.) 1) Wildly implausible and ill-motivated axiological trade-off ratios You suggest making the future vastly bigger may be no great thing even if the ratio of happiness:sadness is actually very high, as the sadness dominates. Yet it is antinatalist/negutils who are outliers in how they trade-off pleasure versus pain. FRI offers a '1 week torture versus 40 years of happiness' trade-off for an individual to motivate the 'care much more about suffering' idea (about 1:2000 by time length). I'd take this, and I guess my indifference is someone between months and years (~~1:100-1:10). Claims like "wouldn't even undergo a minute of torture" (so ~~ 1:10^8 if you get 40 years afterwards) look wild: * Expressed preferences are otherwise. Most say they're glad to be alive, that their lives are worth living, etc. * Virtually everyone's implied preferences are otherwise. I'd be happy to stand in the rain for a few minutes for a back concert, suffer a pinprick to have sex with someone I love, and so on. In essence, we take ourselves to have direct access to the goodness of happiness and the badness of suffering, and so we trade-off these at not-huge ratios. A personal example. One of the (happily, many) joyful experiences of my life was playing games in a swimming pool at a summer camp. Yet I had a very severe muscle cramp (worst of my life) during the frolicking. The joyful experience (which lasted a few hours) greatly outweighs the minute or so of excruciating pain from the cramp I don't propose 'bad muscle cramp' even approaches the depths of suffering humans have experienced - so maybe there's some threshold between pinpricks and 'true' torture where the trade-off ratio should become vast. Others have suffered the torture which you think (effectively) no amount of happi

That's incorrect.

You can't make a thread saying sexual violence is bad because of suicide, and then not allow people to discuss the consent principle as it pertains to suicide.

If you use "lives saved" numbers that imply involuntary survival is good, then you will get commenters pointing out that this violates the consent principle. You are not immune to criticism.

Don't want to discuss suicde? Then don't bring it up.

The other points crossed some inferential distance, but were both relevant and correct. It really is true that most rape currently ha... (read more)

1
kbog
6y
Well that is just a terrible argument, because no one's consent is being violated when we prevent their lives from being bad enough that they want to commit suicide. That's not really new. Having more population implies having more of... everything. Look dude, if you want to go around saying "we should let the planet go extinct so that wildlife doesn't endure the tragedy of existence" then the onus of justifying things that sound counterintuitive on their face is on you.

This may sound rude, but I don't believe you.

Of course, if you consented, it would be consensual. The actual torture will be nonconsensual.

4
Gregory Lewis
6y
Why not? It's not like I'm heroically walking into Omelas forevermore. It's one minute. As acts of self sacrifice go, it's trivial: I understand childbirth can be very painful, and it generally lasts longer than a minute, among many examples. I also don't see where you're going with the consent thing. If I'm offered the trade-off, I take it; if you add a rider like "you'll forget this conversation ever happened, but I'll randomly swoop in and torture you at some moment or another," I still take it.
5
Ben Millwood
6y
I believe him. Moreover it's not that hard to find people in history who have knowingly and deliberately endured hideous conditions because they thought it was necessary for some principle they held, so I don't even think he's that rare.

You can downvote and ignore all you want. However, this does not change the objective fact that these points are both true and relevant and their consequences inevitable.

Just ask yourself the following questions:

Do you think any of the x-risk reduction advocates would voluntarily go through even one minute of personal torture if it were necessary to prevent civilization from collapsing by 2100?

Do you think it is moral to torture a non-consenting innocent individual to give 1.1 times as much pleasure to third parties?

If you are able to cover some inferentia... (read more)

Do you think any of the x-risk reduction advocates would voluntarily go through even one minute of personal torture if it were necessary to prevent civilization from collapsing by 2100?

I would do so gladly.

I see downvotes without arguments.

I don't care about the karma, as it buys me nothing. However, I will point out that this is a sign of epistemic closure and that nothing I wrote was either unkind, untrue or irrelevant from an altruistic point of view.

It is up to you not to cause harm.

4
kbog
6y
You're being downvoted because you're using a thread about sexual violence as a platform for pushing your POV on an entirely different subject.

I agree with the underlying logic, and I did point out that insofar as these suicide statistics imply additional suffering, hardships, downsides, etc., then they do highlight the importance of preventing rape.

However, framing matters. If you frame suicide in terms of productivity loss, you imply that people owe you existence for the sake of productivity. Even if you don't intend this message, it's at least the possibility of an easily avoidable miscommunication.

The same is true for the "lives saved" calculation, which implies that a high invounta... (read more)

0
Andaro
6y
I see downvotes without arguments. I don't care about the karma, as it buys me nothing. However, I will point out that this is a sign of epistemic closure and that nothing I wrote was either unkind, untrue or irrelevant from an altruistic point of view. It is up to you not to cause harm.

To be clear, I don't think individual antinatalism is much of a solution, because of global replaceability.

However, these crucial considerations are rarely considered by those who openly push for active x-risk reduction.

In comparison, someone who eats meat out of self-interest does not have to donate financial or political capital to factory-farming-maximization efforts. Similary, someone who is individually interested in children - or even in violence, sadism, etc. - does not have to believe that supporting anti-extinction shelters is a moral idea.

There a... (read more)

-2
Andaro
6y
You can downvote and ignore all you want. However, this does not change the objective fact that these points are both true and relevant and their consequences inevitable. Just ask yourself the following questions: Do you think any of the x-risk reduction advocates would voluntarily go through even one minute of personal torture if it were necessary to prevent civilization from collapsing by 2100? Do you think it is moral to torture a non-consenting innocent individual to give 1.1 times as much pleasure to third parties? If you are able to cover some inferential distance, you can see what this implies for the x-risk reduction narrative. Ostracizing criticism does not change that one bit. I am not saying you should walk away from Omelas. Walking away does nothing, and there will not just be one tortured kid in a basement per city in the actual future - it will be plenty more than one. I am not blaming Robin Hanson or David Denkenberger for wanting grant money, or Toby Ord or Robert Wibling for wanting to be high status "leaders of effective altruism". Everybody wants money and status, it's straightforward self-interest. I am saying it is not altruism to donate financial and political capital to increase this perverted incentive. You can at least omit donating to Shitty Omelas, Astronomy-Sized. What do you get from causing all these additional nonconsenting victims? What's your incentive? Because it's not altruism, no matter how many times it's called that.
8
HenryStanley
6y
Wait, hang on— You can see that this is an oxymoron, surely? That people under the age of consent cannot give their consent (hence the name "age of consent")?
-5
ateabug
6y
5
kbog
6y
That doesn't make it not a risk. If you found out that something was causing people to quit their EA jobs or move out of the country, you would be concerned and try to find a way to prevent people from being motivated to do that.