All of Chantal's Comments + Replies

Just to comment on your footnote: my intuition is that political spending can be very effective and it is an important component of my family's donations. For anyone interested in this I really recommend Ezra Klein's interview with Amanda Litman from Run for Something. 

She speaks compellingly about how most political donations, especially on the left, are reactionary and not necessarily effective, but about how in certain races and particularly state and local races, tiny sums of money can really make a huge difference. I don't think she explicitly us... (read more)

I would agree that the ITN framework, and perhaps the more quantitative analysis generally dominant within EA, is not so well suited to political questions. Great for assessing the value of a marginal dollar, or helping a person decide where to devote technical skills / a career, but not so much which protest to attend or even which representative to vote for. 

I personally believe that many, if not most, of the world's most pressing problems are political problems, at least in part. For that reason I consider engagement in political movements and demo... (read more)

4
C Tilli
5mo
Interesting perspective! I agree! But if this is true, doesn't it seem very problematic if a movement that means to do the most good does not have tools for assessing political problems? I think you may be right that we are not great at that at the moment, but it seems... unambitious to just accept that? I also think that many people in EA do work with political questions, and my guess would be that some do it very well - but that most of those do it in a full-time capacity that is something different from "citizen politics". Could it be than rather than EA being poorly suited to assessing political issues, EA does not (yet) have great tools for assessing part-time activism, which would be a much more narrow claim?

This surprises me, since on-budget ODA works through government and government accountability frameworks, whereas off-budget and totally private spending does not. Is this perhaps just because private philanthropy in international development is just very small (and therefore less risky) in dollar terms compared to ODA?

In the domestic context, excessive private philanthropic funding can be seen as undermining democracy and weakening the state, in relation to education policy for example. 

I'm thinking for example of the arguments made in "Winner Takes ... (read more)

2
ryancbriggs
6mo
My claiming it's uncontentious is based on working in this research area and  talking to lots of researchers about it. When asked, most say they're less worried about charity than ODA causing these sort of governance issues. Now I get that your question is "why?" and my answer here is more tentative, because I don't know what is going on in their heads. I do think "size of flow" is a big part of it. I'd guess "large flow" is a necessary but not sufficient condition for governance issues, and absent something like a big GiveDirectly UBI-type thing the size of charity flows is often not that large compared to e.g. recipient government budgets. In terms of the theory, I honestly just think our theory is pretty weak. We've often expected flows to cause harm when it looks like they didn't. I don't want to say theory isn't important here, but I think we should be at least as cautious about theory as we are about empirics (very). Maybe it's worth pointing out that my title was that we don't have good evidence for harm, which I strongly stand by, not that we have good evidence that these flows are benign (we don't). This is just a very hard area to study.

I think it is very difficult to argue that aid "didn't work well" in Afghanistan when you look at any education or health metric. According to UNICEF there was a 90% increase in child malnutrition in the year from June 2021-2022, capturing the period following the collapse of the state and the majority of aid projects (number is partially inflated by the expansion of UNICEF programming to cover gaps left by other actors). 

I don't think it is controversial that there was too much money and way too much corruption in Afghanistan. Obviously, the state-bu... (read more)

Agree that critical disability theory would be a really interesting and challenging topic.

Yes I would love to hear a little more from "mainstream" aid and development orgs and have that discussion around how they see EA ideas, and how EA-compatible ideas are growing (or not) within those spaces. Also USAID, World Bank etc. although I don't have a specific name.

My understanding of both Universal Basic Income and Guaranteed Minimum Income are as programs that cover all of a given population and that can essentially only be achieved by policy /government intervention. The reason being that the cost of both, to cover a whole population, is just so expensive that it could only ever be funded by tax revenue. My (far less than perfectly informed) instinct is that true UBI or GMI in a developed country isn't financially possible with private funding but only with a more radically mandated redistribution through tax (esp... (read more)

3
Michael Simm
1y
Guaranteed Income is generally defined as regular cash payment accessible to members of a community, with no strings attached and no work requirements. There's no minimum amount of regular payments, and the "Guaranteed Income Movement" is a thing growing under that verbiage. I use GI instead of UBI because UBI means every person in an entire geographic region. You're right that it can't completely scale with just private funding, we'll have to apply for funding and advocate for government grants at all levels and across the country under the same platform. We can do this without getting in 501(c)(3) trouble with the IRS for politicking.  The thought process is, "if we get enough people guaranteed income, they will be very loud about how awesome it is and the rest of the population will demand national UBI policy." Then repeat in every country.

Separate but related to community, I think your point about identity, and whether fostering EA as an identity is epistemically healthy, is also relevant to (1). 

Your analogy to church spoke very powerfully to me and to something I have always been a bit uncomfortable with. To me, EA is a philosophy/school of thought, and I struggle to understand how a person can "be" a philosophy, or how a philosophy can "recruit members". 

I also suspect that a strong self-perception that one is a "good person" can just as often provide (internal and external) co... (read more)

Agree these estimates are high, but disagree with Salon. While there are plenty of mundane potential explanations, I think suggesting that the 144 minus 1 sightings investigated in the Pentagon report are in fact explained is misleading. My starting assumption is that the Pentagon would have been able to diagnose something like a FLIR glare filter. 

I get that there's a sensationalism to the UFO angle, but I suspect in this community, we might be more susceptible to to letting cultural taboos around "seeing things in the sky" lead us to a really unscie... (read more)

I think so.  As I understand the critique (and maybe I'm bringing my own baggage to it) EA brings with it a certain perspective that centers individual action and may have a tendency to overlook collective action and create certain blindspots around collective/political action.

That EA principles are not philosophically inconsistent with collective action is not, I believe, actually a very effective counter-argument to that point at all. 

I agree. On the same note I really enjoyed Dylan Matthews' article about George W. Bush's PEPFAR program, apparently pursued somewhat independently by Bush: https://www.vox.com/2015/7/8/8894019/george-w-bush-pepfar 

Wow, thank you! I especially appreciate the handbook, it expresses a lot of my thoughts much better than I could have. 

It also made me realise that I didn't express the point you make in the very first section although it's kind of critical to my feeling that there's so much opportunity here - ie that politics is sort of unique in that it calls for mass engagement, and there are so many opportunities to be involved just as a citizen (or group of citizens) without necessarily making it your profession or becoming some kind of expert. Which is not generally often true in other spheres (eg charity) in my opinion. 

Thank you for the resources and insightful comments! I pretty much agree with all of that.

If we're talking US Congress, then I also definitely agree that's super difficult and a huge investment. While it'll be relevant for some, maybe the more useful examples would be running for local office, getting involved in some of the organisations that work on primary challenges, or simply supporting the best candidate for office (with money and volunteer time) when elections do come around (looking at you Georgia). 

Also for context, my family are American but I'm actually a New Zealand citizen and we have proportional representation which does make the national-level politics a very different beast.

I think EA-aligned people could probably learn a lot by running for local office, and I'd be enthusiastic to see more people try it (depending on the strength of their other opportunities).

One difficulty is that it often pays quite badly; one highly engaged community member was a state representative in New Hampshire, but eventually had to quit because the job was effectively unpaid and took a lot of time. She's running an AMA on the Forum soon -- keep an eye out, as you may want to ask her some questions!

I think the find-the-biggest-demos argument is probably the strongest argument for government spending instead of philanthropy. I really disagree with the nationalism inherent in the premise of the last two defenses for reasons of equity. I also don’t think that the nation is an obvious level to spend philanthropy at when most very rich people made their money through a globalized market

 

I think there's a mistake here. Yes it's partly about "democracy" in the nation-state sense but it's also a lot more specific than that, and it's about appropriate de... (read more)

2
Cullen
3y
No need to apologize! I'm happy people are still interested in discussing this. :-) (And I in turn apologize for taking a while to reply!) A couple of responses to this general point. First, I (and I think most EAs) would wholeheartedly agree that feedback mechanisms are important in charity governance generally: it seems to be an important measure to identify and solve problems, as well as accurately assess impacts of a charity. Indeed, GiveWell seems to include this in their qualitative assessment of top charities: GiveDirectly does a very good job of this generally. One of their FAQs is "How do local governments feel about GiveDirectly’s presence?" GiveDirectly's response: GD also operates local call centers to serve their constituents. So there's nothing inherent about philanthropy generally, or as EA practices it, that precludes broad opportunities for feedback. To the extent that someone criticizes philanthropy on these grounds, then, it should really only apply to charities that somehow don't afford these opportunities, or do so inadequately. That's a much narrower case that the authors were making. I do think that EAs may undervalue certain types of feedback mechanisms, though, which is why I give somewhat higher weight in my own charity selection to charities that either enhance recipients' autonomy (by giving them resources they can decide what to do with, as GD does) or otherwise enable communities to choose the goods they feel they need most. I'm excited about charities that develop or use mechanisms like this, such as the quadratic funding mechanism promoted by RadicalxChange. But I do think that procedural input of this kind is only one important input to an overall effectiveness assessment. A charity that has less-good feedback mechanisms but looks much more cost-effective "on paper" may be worth preferring despite the procedural shortcoming. Ultimately, community feedback has to be a proxy for effectiveness to matter, morally. If so, it can b

Is the argument actually "against" philanthropy though? As I read the original content, the argument is for greater democratic scrutiny of large philanthropic gifts, as well as potential measures to reduce inequality generally and the elimination or minimisation of certain tax breaks, which is a much narrower debate.

I've not really seen a serious argument that philanthropy should be done away with. In fact, I think the argument is really more about failures in democracy than failures in philanthropy - democracy's arguable failure to provide basic needs (thus charitable giving having to pick up the slack) and the influence of money in policy and politics.

2
Cullen
3y
My general impression of e.g. Giridharadas is that, right now, he would very much prefer charitable donations to go to the government instead.