All of EdisonY's Comments + Replies

Relevant NYT article detailing the cuts: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/27/health/usaid-contract-terminations.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

 

Had O1 pro estimate the death toll of these cuts:

"Sketching Ballpark Figures for Major Disease Areas

A lot of the projects mentioned in the article revolve around a few top causes of death in low-income settings—particularly HIV, TB, and malaria—plus maternal/child health, polio immunization, neglected tropical diseases, and acute malnutrition relief. Let’s look at the big three first:

A. HIV/AIDS

Programs at stak... (read more)

3[anonymous]
Really important and sobering estimates.  Commenting to add that the Acting Administrator of Global Health at USAID, Nicholas Enrich, had similar estimates for malaria. He was working on this memo (published by NYT) on consequences of the aid pause when he was put on Administrative Leave (probably as retaliation for other memos documenting the inability of lifesaving work to continue due to USAID political leadership) Global Case Increase of Malaria Over One Year If Programs Are Permanently Halted: "An additional 12.5-17.9 million cases and an additional 71,000-166,000 deaths (39.1% increase) annually"

Pretty late to the party, but here are some thoughts.

I think one point that Amia might be making is a criticism of EA's culture. Amia seems to think that EA has a pro-political-status-quo culture. While EA people seem to share a number of basic assumptions about the world, an account of 'how power works' (that Amia would find acceptable) is not one of them. There is no prevailing attitude that capitalist political institutions are the root cause of a number of the world's most serious problems. Given Amia's political commitments, I think her view is that a... (read more)