All of IanPitchford's Comments + Replies

Of course! I must engage my brain from time to time. I was drawing an automatic comparison to the Hybrid Forecasting Competition, which aimed to leverage “the relative strengths of humans and machines”. That one was interesting. https://www.dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/press-releases/item/1785-iarpa-launches-hybrid-forecasting-competition-to-improve-predictions-through-human-machin

I can’t tell what the hybrid element is from the description above (and I hope there is one), but this does look like potentially impactful research.

2
PaulCousens
2y
I think it is hybrid because it involves both forecasting and persuading others to think differently about their forecasts.

This will be too esoteric for many but it could be argued that Daniel M. Ingram’s Emergent Phenomenology Research Consortium is trying to operationalise wisdom research. https://theeprc.org/

2
Ozzie Gooen
3y
Thanks for the link, I wasn't familiar with them.  For one, I'm happy for people to have a very low bar to post links to things that might or might not be relevant. 

I would love to be able to listen to Open Philanthropy research reports in this way.

The claims about Europe in this article are completely absurd, but that's hardly surprising given the incredibly low standard of the sources cited. I'm in favour of engagement with diverse viewpoints and believe this should be viewed as a serious task. I think the best way to do this is to engage with the primary literature and with the output of well-regarded think tanks - see for example the Global Go To Think Tank Index Report - http://repository.upenn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1009&context=think_tanks

Increasingly, MOOCs are also a great way o... (read more)

1
xccf
7y
Note that many of the claims in Haydn's post had no source at all. I took a quick look at this report. The methodology section indicates that it ranks think tanks on the basis of impact. Choosing to trust a think tank based on how much influence it has seems a bit like choosing to trust a person based on how loudly they're speaking.

The Pareto Fellowship programme sounds like paradise on earth.

I think this is wise given the complexity of GPP's core research agenda, but I really like the branding and identity of the project and the prominence it gives to research effectiveness as a critically important idea. I see it as being potentially analogous to what the Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft does for innovation in Germany in that it could turn a vague concept into a strategic process.

Congratulations to all concerned. As a member of the EA community in West Yorkshire I am really pleased to see the collaboration with the University of York. I hope the bid to the John Templeton Foundation is successful.

I'd really like to see CFAR workshops available in the UK too. Is this something CEA/80,000 Hours might be able to facilitate?

Effective Altruism certainly has the conceptual richness to support a research institute and I shall look forward to the development of the proposed Oxford Institute for Effective Altruism with considerable enthusiasm. In terms of supporting the future intellectual development of the field I hope the Institute will deliver (or contribute) to taught programmes at Oxford and build up a significant postgraduate research community. A research focus on crucial considerations and cause prioritisation is also appealing because (a) these are extremely powerful, bu... (read more)

2
Evan_Gaensbauer
8y
I've thought for a long time CFAR and 80k have much in common, so I'm glad to see others are thinking about it!