All of Pawel Sysiak's Comments + Replies
[Question about text formatting] How did Holden format the text to include a collapsible section? If you don't see it search for "Click to expand". I cannot figure it out. Unfortunately using the Markdown as mentioned in this example doesn't work. Does anybody know?
Thanks for highlighting these concerns! Here is what I think about these topics:
1.
I focused on doing an overview of the HLI and the problem area because compared to other teams it seemed as one of the most established and highest quality orgs within the Clearer Thinking regranting round. I thought this may be missed by some and is a good predictor of the outcomes.
2.
I focused on the big-picture lens because the project they are looking for funding for is pretty open-ended.
...So far, we’ve looked quite narrowly at GiveWell-style ‘micro-interventions’ in low-inc
I use immersive reading all the time. I find that it substantially increases reading speed and comprehension. Here are some tools I find helpful:
- In the past, I used Instapaper and Pocket to aggregate articles and use their text-to-speech software (I think Instapaper's text-to-speech is better). But about a year ago I switched to the Matter app (iOS only, https://hq.getmatter.app). I think it is a very well-thought-out app and has a good text-to-speech mode.
- If you buy an old version of Kindle – that is Kindle 3 you will get a very solid text-to-speech softw
„Think about the population density of places you go to regularly. Ask yourself: “How many people have been here in the last week?”. Avoid places where that number is large, and, take extra precautions.”
What do you consider a small/moderate/large numbers here? i.e. I go to a small exercises studio with ~200 weekly visitors. When this type of place starts being a high risk place.
I also didn't understand it. I researched it, and I think this is the more in-depth explanation:
Long-term markets with very low or very high probabilities aren’t correctly priced because of opportunity-cost dynamic. For example: events that should trade at 2% stay at 5% OR events that should be at 98% stay at 95%. Everything gets pulled toward the middle because the opportunity cost of tying up money for years makes it not worth fixing the mispricing.
For a low-probability event priced at 5%, a trader who thinks the true probability is 1% would have to bet ... (read more)