Nice post, there's some very useful advice here. I've made some of my best friends through social media, and found amazing opportunities, & I love how optimistic you are about the potential for good outcomes.
I would add one note of caution for readers: don't feel compelled to be active on social media if it doesn't work for your psyche. If you can tell that it makes you miserable, it's becoming compulsive,, or it's taking away time that you know is better spent elsewhere (whether that's more impactful work or more rewarding leisure) - scale... (read more)
Have you just tried not hanging out with EAs so much where you are? Most EA hubs are big cities, there are lots of other people!
I don't really follow the argument that inflation causes populism. Do you think that inflation will disproportionately strengthen the "populist" wing of the Republicans, rather than just all of them simultaneously? Or even: particularly the inflation hawks? I don't tend to think of inflation hawks as populists, but I'm not from the US so I don't have a perfect sense of the dynamics there, or whether you are using "populism" as a shorthand for "voting Republican".
You've made a good case that inflation is likely to make Biden less popular, and improve the el... (read more)
$100bn to reduce the risk by 100 basis points seems like a good deal to me, if you think you can model the risk like that. If I've understood the correctly, that would be the equivalent price of $10tn to avoid a certain extinction; which is less than 20% of global GDP. Bargain!
The incentive to make other connections is already there: you can tell it would make you happier. It's a question of coming up with a good plan and then executing it.
Some possible ways to make connections in your city:
- No EA events for the next six months. If you'll miss your EA friends, tell them you're interested in making friends outside the EA community, and that you'd like to hang out but you'd rather go to a bar or for a hike or something than to an EA meetup, and that they're welcome to invite anyone who would enjoy whatever the activity
... (read more)