Three well-intentioned critiques of improving agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa as a poverty intervention:
Perhaps a more effective cause framing would be around creating off-farm income/resilience opportunities for farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa? This might improve incomes while indirectly improving agricultural productivity (as farms naturally become bigger and more productive with marginal farmers proactively move away from farming)
I was still excited to see this podcast episode as carefully-targeted agricultural interventions can be really beneficial across many areas (food security, poverty, emissions reductions etc) and seem neglected by EA community (from my perspective). I'd be very happy to informally support anyone working on this (I'm a PhD student specializing in scalable farmer communication and Nitrogen productivity of rice farms in South Asia)
Cheers Helene!
Fertilizer subsidy cost-effectiveness: I agree - fertilizer subsidies could be cost-effective in principle. I guess I see reducing subsidy costs as more of a potential co-benefit of increasing returns from fertilizer. Specifically, growing more food with less fertilizer could alleviate the need for food and fertilizer subsidies (improving the cost-effectiveness and political feasibility of redirecting resources to other government services)
Why subsidies politicized: I guess a large part is the proportion of voters employed in agriculture (in South Asian democracies compared to western democracies). Also, South Asian governments commonly resist foreigners influencing government policies (partially because of colonization). This paper provides a neat introduction to fertilizer subsidies and their politicization in South Asia
Cheers Helene! I've been researching rice fertilizer management in Myanmar and India (both the farm and farmer sides) for the last five years (pretty well full-time). So I'm excited to see your post and I reckon you've identified a lot of key points (impressed you put this together in just 12 hours)
Highest priority points I'd add:
I wouldn't frame the cause around "interventions to raise crop yields and increase fertilizer use" in view of the above points and the negative environmental impacts you identified. An alternative framing might be 'increasing returns from fertilizer' (such as seasonal weather forecasting, improving post-harvest storage, improving market access etc). This sort of framing can (sometimes) harmonize multiple priorities (including food security, poverty alleviation, subsidy savings, emissions reductions)
For my PhD, I'm analyzing the scale and tractability of increasing Nitrogen use efficiency of rice farms across different regions in South Asia (analyzing the data in the below figure), as well as testing approaches for scalable farmer communication (to help realize these opportunities). I'd be very happy to informally support you or any other impact-oriented people working on agricultural cause areas where helpful (e.g. share useful papers/datasets, introductions to other researchers and practitioners - including people from the One Acre Fund NGO you mentioned). Thanks again for the great post
Pretty striking that "those who prioritize neartermist causes more reported being more concerned across all questions"
Also that mildly EA-engaged people more agreed the community should look very different in response to the FTX crisis, while more EA-engaged people more disagreed
Suggests community will shift away from 'big tent' effective altruism and towards a more longtermist and hardcore community if it avoids reform?
Systematic scoping review that might support further investigation on impact of mobile networks in low- and middle-income countries:
In case helpful, we recently published a Gates-funded systematic scoping review synthesizing 315 articles evidencing use and/or impacts of digital farming services in low- and middle-income countries. (We interpreted digital farming services as any agriculture-related information service , market linkage service, farming tool or financial service with a digital user interface). Potentially relevant findings include:
- Importance of mobile networks for digitizing farming services (for good and bad): Use of digital farming services was influenced by mobile network availability (according to 51 empirical studies) and mobile network affordability (according to 19 empirical studies)
- Impact evidence of digital farming services: We found 173 empirical studies reporting digital farming services outcomes (e.g. increased social inclusion, reduced income) with variable levels of rigor (which we coarsely categorized). Only a handful of studies directly analysed how mobile network access influenced these outcomes (e.g. Jensen 2007)
- Leverage of mobile networks: numerous reviewed studies found farmers creating informal digital farming services using mobile networks (e.g. pastoralists in Tanzania using their mobile phones to reduce human-wildlife conflict - Lewis et al., 2016, and farmers in Cambodia using mobile phones to get better rice prices - Shimamoto et al., 2015)
Linked here is a database of reviewed studies (filtered by country, reported outcome type etc) and linked here is the journal paper documenting the review itself. I personally read almost all of the 315 articles and would be very happy to informally help you (or anyone else reading this) navigate the resources or support in whatever other way (spent ages on this work and would love to help make it useful for OpenPhil or any other impact-oriented people) - samcoggins55 at gmail dot com
Thanks for your great work on this investigation in any case
I think I'd find this post a bit jarring if I was a Latin American person because Latin America is a big and diverse place (and I'm guessing Latin American EA-engaged students are highly diverse as well). At the risk of being finicky, I'd suggest softening the generalisations (e.g. reword "Latin American students seem..." to "Latin American students at the conference seemed...") . All the same, I really do appreciate the intent of this post as well as the thoughtful interpretations and ideas
Five reasons why I think it's unhelpful connecting our intrinsic worth to our instrumental worth (or anything aside from being conscious beings):
Despite thinking these things, I often unintentionally get caught up muddling my self-worth with my instrumental worth (can relate to the post and comments on here!) I've found 'mindful self-compassion' super helpful for doing less of this