I don't have enough data to know if there are specific paths not enough people are taking, but I'm pretty certain there's a question that not enough people are asking within the paths they're taking: how is what I'm doing *right now* going to lead to a 10x/100x/1,000x win, in expectation? What's the Move 37 I'm making, that nobody else is seeing? This mentality that can be applied in pretty much any career path.
I'm ok with calling this the "Silicon Valley mindset" - since it recommends a growth-oriented career mindset, like the Breakout List philosophy, with the ultimate success metric being impact - though it's important to note that I'm not advocating for everybody to go start companies. Rather, I'm describing a shift in focus towards extreme career capital growth asap (rather than direct impact asap) in any reasonably relevant domain, subject to the constraint of robustly avoiding value drift. This seems like the optimal approach ...
Thread is too long to fully process, but I'll try to re-phrase what seems to be a crucial & perhaps-not-disputed point here:
If you have big enough wins on your record, early on, you can do pretty much anything.
If you're optimizing for max impact in a decades-long career (which Michelle & Richard both seem to agree is the right framing), then pursuing opportunities with extreme growth trajectories seems like a good strategy.
Where are the Elon Musks and Peter Thiels (early career trajectory-wise) in the EA community? Why are so few EAs maki...
Welcome to the EA community! I liked your first post on the Forum, and I hope you'll come back to make many more.
Now that that's been said, here's my response, which may sound oppositional, but which I intend to be more along the lines of "trying to get on the same page, since I think we actually agree on a lot of stuff". Overall, I think your vision of success is pretty close to what people at 80K might say (though I could be wrong and I certainly don't speak for them).
Where are the Elon Musks and Peter Thiels (early career...
Are you an EA org? :)