Credal resilience

Discuss the topic on this page. Here is the place to ask questions and propose changes.
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The example used here is a stochastic process, which is a case where resilience of a subjective probability can be easily described with a probability distribution and Bayesian updates on observations. But the most important applications of the idea are one-off events with mainly epistemic uncertainty. Is there a good example we could include for that? Maybe a description of how you might express/quantify the resilience of a forecast for a past event whose outcome is not known yet?

I think this entry could be improved and expanded using some of the content, terms/concepts, and/or links from this shortform of mine:

I don't have time to do that myself right now, plus I think other people in the EA community are more knowledgeable about this stuff than me, so hopefully someone else can do that!

Otherwise it's possible I'll circle back in a few weeks/months.