akorinek
Bio
Anton is a Rubenstein Fellow at the Brookings Institution, a Professor of Economics and Business Administration at the University of Virginia, the Economics of AI Lead at the Centre for the Governance of AI as well as a Research Associate at the NBER and a Research Fellow at the CEPR. He received his PhD in economics after several years of work experience in the IT and financial sectors. His research focuses on macroeconomics, international finance, and inequality. In his most recent work, he investigates the effects of progress in automation and artificial intelligence for our economy and our society. He is the instructor of "The Economics of AI" on Coursera.
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I think it's a pretty plausible scenario but not the only one - there's quite a range of possibilities - let me recommend a survey paper with Phil Trammell that is closely related.
Two additional things you may find interesting to consider:
- Given the size of our national debt, taxes are quite likely to go up in the next few years, implying that you'll get more of a tax break for a charitable donation in a few years than you get now.
- On the other hand, taxes are not entirely "money lost" - a good part of government spending goes into causes that you may not be entirely averse to - although it's hard to tell what a marginal dollar will do, e.g. whether it will be used to cut the taxes of millionaires, or to provide social benefits to the poor.
I'd suggest to just try it out. Coursera allows you to reset your timeline if you go slower than the suggested schedule so it's no problem to spread out the material over a longer time range, and I hope you'll still find it informative.