All of anishazaveri's Comments + Replies

Can you elaborate more on characteristics that predict successful founders. How easy is it to identify these before the applicants go through the program?

8
Joey
11mo
We have a talk on the key traits of great charity founders here, right now our vetting system is about 0.7 correlated with charity outcomes two years later. 

Can I ask why you picked MSI as an example? If I take your argument seriously, is MSI the family planning charity you recommend I donate to?

1
Hank_B
1y
That's a good question. Some other organizations I've seen in this scene do things other than family planning (the one that comes to mind is population service international (PSI)), so using the numbers from a more "pure" family planning org like MSI probably gets a better cost per life prevented than say using the numbers from PSI? But other than that, I haven't done much comparative work here and don't have solid recommendations. 

I work at a startup designing synthetic proteins using deep learning: https://www.evozyne.com/. Even though the products my company works on are impactful, due to counterfactuality, I think my impact is through ETG.

You don't need a bio background to work in bio-related ML. Getting a CS degree with some bio-related courses/self-study the side seems enough. Also bioinformatics != bio-ML.

As a person who was a biologist and now does ML:

My impression is EAs (especially 80k) think you will make an impact through research only if you are in the top few percent of researchers in the world. I think that is especially hard to achieve in biology (especially wet-lab biology) because:

  • Success in biology is incredibly resource constrained. So getting into a rich lab is key
  • Success in biology is much more luck-dependent than other fields. Intelligence is secondary.

Other reasons to not do biology:

  • Biology postdocs/PhDs work longer and are paid le

... (read more)
1
jackchang110
1y
Thank you for answering, some of the points are new that I haven't considered about. What do you work in ML? AI safety? I want to know what EA-related things I can work in CS besides reducing AI x-risks. If I insist in working on those bio-related topics, is it still worth getting a CS major and fewer bio?(for bioinformatics and other CS-related skills)

I think a stronger case may be made for substituting fish with bivalves, though this is again anecdotal.

I second that this is a problem exacerbated by 80,000 hours. For example, I used to work in biomedical research, and 80,000 hours recommends a career path that involves getting a PhD at a top school. I did my PhD in India, which severely limits my career capital. Eventually, I decided to leave research and move to data science to ETG. To be clear, there were other factors involved and I think it's likely that 80,000 hours is correct that it's only worth being in academic research if you are in the top 0.1%. But it is strangely discouraging nonetheless

There is a list here where I see "Front-end web development" and "back-end web development

4
MichaelStJules
2y
You can also use filters on their job board, in case there's anything there: https://www.animaladvocacycareers.org/job-board
2
BrownHairedEevee
2y
Oh, this is nice! But it's organized in a weird way - not by organization or job listing, but by skill first with the list of orgs seeking each skill next to it.

I've been in EA for 5+years and I agree this is a shocking amount of money. Even assuming that starting a blog is useful, I doubt that the incentive for someone to start a blog would be substantially different if the prize was let's say $15,000

Just to give one data point to the contrary: I have just read this and now I am seriously thinking about starting a blog. (I have been thinking about starting a blog for a long time,  but this might push me to actually get going on it, I don't think if the prize were $15,000 that would be the case.)

How do I make cause area restricted donations?

5
abrahamrowe
2y
If you're donating on our website (https://rethinkpriorities.org/donate), on the second part of the donate form, you can add a comment. Just add a note there if you'd like us to restrict your gift to a specific pool - our finance team sees these notes. If you're giving via another platform (EA Funds, a DAF, etc.) feel free to just email us at info@rethinkpriorities.org and let us know! Thanks for supporting us!

I looked into LINK earlier this year and had the vague impression that they are not funding constrained since newer security rules during COVID have added too many barriers to attempting rescue.

8
MichaelStJules
2y
This makes sense. They only rescued 15 in 2020. They discuss COVID on this page:  

Longtermists who want to donation trade against animal charities send me a message on the forum. UPDATE: Here are the ones I've already donated to: https://www.every.org/@anisha.zaveri

What are your thoughts on Singer's criticism of open borders?

"But given that concerns about immigration have clearly brought about the election of Donald Trump, the Brexit vote, and the election of right-wing governments in Hungary and Poland, I think that the moral imperative is not to have open borders."

2
Nathan Young
3y
My response here would be that immigration to the UK has probably bought more benefit than the costs of brexit and US immigration more than the costs of Trump. Even if the causality is clear which I'm not sure it is, I'd bet on those being bet positive anyway.

I'm not aware of any serious arguments that open borders are bad on a first-order, only that the political backlash is something to worry about.

With that in mind, I'm a pragmatist (and pragmatism is one of our core values). I'll fight for whatever increases in immigration I can get and work within the political reality that we live in. I'm willing to explore what Bryan Caplan calls 'keyhole' solutions that are much less than ideal or unfair in some ways, but better than nothing. 

I also think that the backlash angle can be overstated.  A lot of th... (read more)

What are concrete ways for EAs to support increased immigration in rich countries?

I found a possible error in CSS6. On page 91 you say:

Buttigieg supports increased taxes on the wealthy, which presumably would include millionaires andbillionaires, and did not mention equalizing the capital gains tax with the income tax. We give him 1 point.
We’ve found no information to judge Buttigieg, so we give him 0.3 points.



2
kbog
5y
Thank you. Just forgot to delete the 2nd line. The Excel file had the updated 1-point score so the scores were correct. Fixing the report now for next edition.