Happy to chat about AI governance, meta-ethics, movement building, and many other things. Just text me and we can schedule a call!
I think a central idea here is that superintelligence could innovate and thus find more energy-efficient means of running itself. We already see a trend of language models with the same capabilities getting more energy efficient over time through algorithmic improvement and better parameters/data ratios. So even if the first Superintelligence requires a lot of energy, the systems developed in the period after it will probably need much less.
Weakly held opinion that you could be investing too much into this progress. I'd expect to hit diminishing returns after ~50-100 hours (though have no expertise whatsoever)
Sounds good! Thanks for the reply.
I think I would additionally find it helpful to get some insights into what you are prioritizing to give feedback on project plans (or maybe your future post on impact metrics will include that?) - but I know communication takes a lot of effort, so it may be easier to just receive that feedback as you're rolling out the projects. Looking forward to your next post
I think even for community building, there is a rather broad category, though most of the ones I know of are online, so they probably don't apply here. It would be helpful to have some examples.
Thanks for writing this!
Your high-level strategy sounds great but is also fairly generic, so hard to criticize. One theme throughout seems to be an emphasis on creating solid structures and making sure everything is legally backed. I think this is important-especially after the FTX crisis-though I sense a risk of an overemphasis on security. EA Germany is yet a small community and has so much room to grow! I think we need a large number of capable people to solve some serious problems fairly soon. EA Germany should thus emphasize ambition and growth, primarily through targeted outreach and connecting the community better internationally.
I was hoping to learn more about the concrete projects that you are working on/ about to start. Here are some ideas that I see as priorities (Most are already happening to some degree):
Thanks for all the work you are already doing! It's always easy to suggest a lot of projects without having to start them myself :D
Looking forward to your strategy playing out.
Just for context - which programs are you referring to and have organized/ participated in? I see the term "fellowship" used for a range of programs
I think my skepticism comes from the fact that you could already easily cheat on my biology exams with internet access (and people did when they were online during covid). This isn't much of a problem with pen & paper exams, but it seems that online degrees will really struggle now.
Thank you. I think for the first two I still don't see a big jump from just internet access. But I agree that cheating got a lot easier. The third example seems particularly like outsourcing an important skill.
Though you need to consider the counterfactual where the talent currently at OAI, DM, and Anthropic all work at Google or Meta and have way less of a safety culture.