Davidmanheim

Head of Research and Policy @ ALTER - Association for Long Term Existence and Resilience
7603 karmaJoined Working (6-15 years)

Participation
4

  • Received career coaching from 80,000 Hours
  • Attended more than three meetings with a local EA group
  • Completed the AGI Safety Fundamentals Virtual Program
  • Completed the In-Depth EA Virtual Program

Sequences
2

Deconfusion and Disentangling EA
Policy and International Relations Primer

Comments
940

Topic contributions
1

Convince funders to invest in building those plans, to sketch out futures and treaties that could work rbustly to stop the coming likely nightmare of default AGI/ASI futures.

The key takeaway, which has been argued for by myself and others, should be to promote investment in clear plans for what post warning shot AI governance looks like. Unfortunately, despite the huge contingent value, there is very little good work on the topic.

The description is about punishment for dissent from non-influential EAs, but the title is about influential members. (And I'd vote differently depending on which is intended.)

Fit is an important aspect of hiring! (As are diversity, etc.) Picking the person who gets the highest score on the trial, while ignoring how they fit with the team, is a huge problem.

The description seems fine, but the title seems to get this wrong by referencing fit instead of nepotism or similar.

I imagine that there would be willingness to do a matching-raised-funds program, where the company pledges to match funds that employees have pledged to charities. For example, someone chooses to do a 10k run for a charity and gets friends and family to pledge to the charity, or chooses to do a birthday fundraiser in lieu of presents. This seems like it would qualify for the bounty, and the framing seems less weird than what you proposed, even though it's essentially identical.

This is bad, good work pointing it out.

But critically, what is far worse than this is every other company which neither admits the risks, nor bothers to have any reasonable mitigations. And it is very important that this is made clear!

wondering whether the fan really draws all the air through the filters

It doesn't need to. If only 90% goes through each time, it's incredibly effective, since it's getting through all the air in the room many times each hour.

Median, above 6%, but I'd take a bet with reasonable odds for >8% before end of 2027.

I'd certainly bet on higher US unemployment by 2027, in part due to AI automation.

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