In 2020, I donated medicine to 10,000 children. I donated literacy lessons to 200 children.
Sjlver, you cited the article titled "Health and agricultural productivity: Evidence from Zambia." If I'm reading well, the randomized controlled trial measured about 10% to 15% increase in income during the next year for a population with free bednets.
That is a perfect example of the kinds of facts that I have been searching for. I welcome any more evidence.
Now I cited that exemplary article. In a spreadsheet cell.
Also, in the past few days I revised some estimates and sources of facts.
I ignorantly estimated of 3% to 5% compounding opportunity cost in annual productivity from malaria alone. This is based on a comment from Rob Mathers at a World Malaria Day presentation about the total economic opportunity cost of malaria per year divided by the income of an estimated population at risk of malaria. It is a crude estimate.
Phil's discussion had inspired the historical scenario of donating to AMF in 2010 or 2020. As can be seen in the crude estimates so far, I am currently uncertain. Therefore, I agree with you, Sjlver, that with such high uncertainty it seems to be a deadly gamble to delay a gift by 10 years.
Again anyone's comments on facts from 2010 to 2020 would inform an estimate of this historical scenario. If I can understand a simple historical scenario, then it would inform my giving plans for the future.
For AMF, which of the following options was more helpful?
(A) Donating 1000 bednets in 2010?
(B) Donating 3000 bednets in 2020?
Below is a link to a visual version of the above question:
Which Helped More? (Donating bednets in 2010 vs 2020)
What is the ratio of malaria deaths per year compared to the total population in the regions of prevalent malaria incidences? How has this ratio changed from ten years ago?