All of ethankennerly's Comments + Replies

These tips felt relevant to my chats with teammates at Electronic Arts who participate in social impact.

A couple of highlights resonated with me:

Community & discussion oriented activities are probably high ROI

Employees tended to be more skeptical about longtermism compared to the average EA

The example of rabies inspired a search for leading causes of death in the 1800s. Here's one article that sounded plausible for 1850 and 1900: https://nonprofitupdate.info/2010/10/21/10-leading-causes-of-death-in-1850-and-2000-2/

Another plausible stat from the United States from 1900 follows:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/235703/major-causes-of-death-in-the-us/

Prevention of a frequent cause of death from 1900 (such as pneumonia, tuberculosis, and diarrhea) sounds like a plausible clue to identifying an intervention that benefited many humans by 2020. ... (read more)

Aogara,

What a perfect reply! This thoughtful estimate of Against Malaria Foundation expected benefit thoroughly informed me. The similar expectations from Malaria Consortium, New Incentives, Helen Keller International, and GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund have sound evidence to extend the healthy life of an infant, on average, by about one day for one dollar.

Mark, you're right, I had no intention if prolonging a miserable life. I intended to ask about extending an infant's healthy and pleasant life by one day.

Sjlver, you cited the article titled "Health and agricultural productivity: Evidence from Zambia." If I'm reading well, the randomized controlled trial measured about 10% to 15% increase in income during the next year for a population with free bednets.

That is a perfect example of the kinds of facts that I have been searching for. I welcome any more evidence.

Now I cited that exemplary article. In a spreadsheet cell.

Also, in the past few days I revised some estimates and sources of facts.

I ignorantly estimated of 3% to 5% compounding opportunity cost in ann... (read more)