I added this feature!
I made the text a bit more clear. As for the bug, it didn't affect the end result of the Fermi estimation but how I computed the intermediate "probability of doom" was wrong: I forgot to take into account situations where AGI safety ended up being impossible... It is fixed now.
Thank you for the feedback!
Thank you for the feedback. It's fixed now!
At first, I thought this would be distracting, as there are many orders of magnitudes between the lowest "lives saved if you avoid extinction" estimations and the higher ones. But given that you're not the first to ask for that, I think it would be a good idea to add this feature! I will probably add that soon.
How would you model these effects? I have two ideas :
Is one of them what you had in mind? Do you have other ideas?