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Ian Turner

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Let us know what you find.

My understanding is that some electric and water utilities did a similar thing in the early days of the pandemic, for the same reasons.

Is there a reason why the first sentence of this post would not suffice (even if perhaps moved to the end of the document)?

Hmm, I'm not confident that Bob is wrong here. It seems to me that there's a quite plausible argument that EA's involvement in AI has been net-negative, possibly so net-negative as to cancel out all of the rest of EA. You seem to assume that this was knowable in advance, but that's not necessarily so.

Your argument seems to assume that one should "shut up and multiply" and then run with that estimated EV number; but there have been many arguments on this forum and elsewhere about why we shouldn't trust naive EV estimates.

Median household (not personal) income in the bay area is well under $200,000, so I disagree that $600k is not doing "extremely well".

However, I personally believe that most EA executives earning in the mid six figures could easily earn even more if they were to move to the private sector.

Just a note that in 2013, Google's headcount was a little less than 50,000 people, so we are talking about a completely different scale from any EA or EA-adjacent organization. When you are hiring at scale, you can afford to take more risks on any given hire.

Personally I don't think Sam Altman is motivated by money. He just wants to be the one to build it.

I sense that Elon Musk and Dorio Amodei's motivations are more complex than "motivated by money", but I can imagine that the actual dollar amounts are more important to them than to Sma.

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