All of Josh Jacobson's Comments + Replies
So New Zealand actually has a quite unique situation that I'm not sure really exists elsewhere, and I've sent messages to people at EA NZ a few times advocating for research into this:
New Zealand has a Global Impact Visa:
- Where selection is solely based on individuals' focus on positively impacting the world
- That isn't tied to employment or other traditional immigration categories
- And where a non-governmental non-profit organization selects the recipients
This is kind of remarkable anywhere, but especially given it's NZ. I'd be pretty excited for EA NZ (or a n...
Every.org tentatively appears to not have a minimum donation amount.
A number of organizations affiliated with our cause areas are on that platform, I believe.
I suspect it should be emphasized that you really shouldn't put much time or effort into your message.
It's been almost 20 years since I worked for someone in government, so I could be wrong, but even then we simply added to the count of people who wrote in in favor (and recorded it with their name in our database) and didn't read the note.
They also wouldn't cover e.g. capabilities companies being reckless or violating commitments they made, unless they break some clear law, and even then protections are pretty limited.
An alternative take on this (I haven’t researched this topic myself): https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/LttenWwmRn8LHoDgL/josh-jacobson-s-quick-takes?commentId=ZA2N2LNqQteD5dE4g
Quick Take: Probably the best board members will have some significant hesitance to accept. This is one spot where I think EA is sometimes getting things wrong right now, and where I think e.g. a full hiring round for a board is quite misdirected.
Wrote the following in a Slack thread asking about advice for selecting board members:
(I’m familiar with the US and not other places, so some of this may not exactly be right outside the US.)
-
First of all, your Board has ~complete control over your organization. They can remove the executive, change strategy,
Some lawyers claim that there may be significant (though not at all ideal) whistleblowing protection for individuals at AI companies that don't fully comply with the Voluntary Commitments: https://katzbanks.com/wp-content/uploads/KBK-Law360-Despite-Regulation-Lag-AI-Whistleblowers-Have-Protections.pdf
Thanks for sharing!
This isn't on you, but just sharing that the website feels really lacking in detail and salesy. It isn't clear to me at all:
- What the normal price is
- Why this would be any better than all the other offerings
- Why I should particularly go through the significant additional red tape vs. other options
- If this will be repeatable; after all, being able to compare results over time is likely a huge amount of the value of these things
If you happen to know any of these answers, I'd be interested. Otherwise, this comment is just to help others know some potential issues before they decide whether to investigate further.
I didn’t read this, but my very first foray into “doing good” was building a web app to fight loneliness via helping people make friends online (2010-2013).
We didn’t get to see what it could become as I became passionate about doing other EA things (joined CEA then) but I’ve sometimes wondered if continuing with that app would have been the right call. I think there’s some chance we had found the right design / product for this space.
Anyway if anyone feels like picking up the codebase or otherwise trying to move forward with a massive loneliness intervention, I’d be open to messaging about it.
I generally/directionally agree, and also wrote about a closely related concern previously: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/tdaoybbjvEAXukiaW/what-are-your-main-reservations-about-identifying-as-an?commentId=GB8yfzi8ztvr3c6DC
FWIW, I would value (for the community) a "how-to" post that describes e.g. branding process more than this type of post which points at various considerations. E.g. something(s) that taught what it means to create a hierarchy of the messages you want to get across, what positioning statements are, etc. and how to create a brand on the basis of those considerations.
Most volunteer opportunities likely get mainly posted at https://www.facebook.com/groups/1392613437498240/
The name seems potentially quite bad. To me, the connotation is that everything in it should be taken with an asterisk. E.g. its meaning as described here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asterisk#Competitive_sports_and_games
SI seems appx. equivalent to Draft Kings, but maybe I'm missing something?
Does Maxim Bet at $2k and 3x seem worthwhile? https://maximbet.com/promotions/big-game-supersized-bonus
What the agent said is false. Here's the relevant webpages from earlier today, and a screenshot:
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:HHeBLwMgPXkJ:ht...
I don't think I understand what it means to "return the stake" nor how to determine if that is happening.
Certain sites give you bonus funds in free bets that don't return the stake (like MaximBet and PlayMaverick). Like with site credit earned through risk-free first bet promotions, that credit should be used on events with long odds. Other sites give you credit that does return the stake (like BetRivers, and TVG). Credits of this type should be used on events with shorter odds to reduce variance and lower tax liability.
It looks like Superbook and PlayMaverick should be short odds?
Superbook:
The following terms apply:
- 100% Deposit Bonus Match
- Up to $1,000 of initial deposit
- Bonus Voucher will be credited into account within 24 hours
- Bonus Vouchers are applied to 50% of your cash wager
- Bonus voucher will be applied to subsequent qualifying wagers at 50% of the wager amount, up to the value remaining on the Bonus Voucher. (e.g. a $100 wager will be $50 cash and $50 of Bonus Voucher funds, if available).
PlayMaverick:
...The Maverick Sports Welcome Deposit Bonus Match offe
If you'd like to continue advantage sports betting after grabbing the lowest hanging fruit of signup bonuses, you can continue to place +EV and arbitrage bets through OddsJam. The amount you can make depends on the size of your bankroll (i.e a $2,000 bet generates twice as much EV as a $1,000 bet.) You'll likely be limited by sports books within a couple of months (they'll restrict you to $5 per bet once they know you're a winning bettor,) but making smart bets is perfectly legal and you will always be able to withdraw your money, limited or otherwise.
Is this why these opportunities exist? Because I would have thought they'd be closed / taken advantage of quickly.
This is cool, insightful, and creative. Thanks for making this post.
I do take issue with a prerequisite being 60+ hour weeks… there are many highly successful executives who work much less than that. Hours don’t necessarily correlate to production, and I expect unnecessarily including that in this post could filter out people who are very worth hearing from.
You're welcome.
Re hours: maybe? Personally I only imagine that being true for someone who's worked in this sort of retail before. If you haven't, and expect do a good job, then I reckon you'll be scrambling to get oriented and execute for at least several months if not the first year. Especially so if it's a business in decline and you're working to pull it out.
Thanks for sharing. I'm adding this to my potential research agenda, kept here: https://airtable.com/shrGF5lAwSZpQ7uhP/tblJR9TaKLT41AoSL and https://airtable.com/shrQdonZuU20cpGR4
I found this compelling, but I feel confused about what I'd be signing up for from a time-investment perspective (hours, days, weeks?).
First, I want to support this suggestion:
If you do give it a try, consider leaving comments here on how much time you invested, how far you got, and how the whole thing was for you.
Responses of this kind will be quite helpful from my perspective, especially if the commentors share a bit about their background as well.
Given that comments of that type do not currently exist, I'd be excited for Holden and/or others in the ...
I can give a sense of my investment, though I'm obviously an unusual case in multiple ways. I'm a coauthor on the report but I'm not an ARC researcher, and my role as a coauthor was primarily to try to make it more likely that the report would be accessible to a broader audience, which involved making sure my own "dumb questions" were answered in the report.
I kept time logs, and the whole project of coauthoring the report took me ~100 hours. By the end I had one "seed" of an ELK idea but unfortunately didn't flesh it out because other work/life things were...
They may be willing to direct it to a charity that will give it to an individual, eg https://www.theissresearch.org/.
This job posting existed: https://www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/social-impact-advocate-canva-foundation-at-canva-2664448885/?originalSubdomain=au
May have been high impact?
Someone in favor of the policy may respond to some of your concerns (e.g. the latter ones) with this sort of argument: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6uwLq8kofo4Tzxfe2/long-covid-is-not-necessarily-your-biggest-problem
You're right! Good to know.
ChatGPT on this & implications: https://chatgpt.com/share/e/687ab695-de44-800c-a4e7-ebe0f4b73338