LG

Lauren Gilbert

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Bio

EIC, In Development. Formerly horizon scanning @ Ren Phil, research fellow @ Open Phil.  Mostly on Twitter.

Sequences
1

Migration Literature Review

Comments
48

I think the most surprising thing is that Founder Mode is real? I am spending so much time sweating the tiny details and honestly it's really fun.

It's been definitely easier than I expected; particularly, I expected to have a hard time convincing people to contribute to a new magazine, but I've been amazed how willing people have been.

I have a giant list! Saloni Dattani and Jacob Trefethan are the top, but also I'd love to publish some of the writers that got me into global development in the first place - Paul Collier, Samantha Power, and (in my dreams) Amartya Sen.

Agree on housing, disagree on NHS: https://www.laurenpolicy.com/p/uk-immigration-and-public-services

I would say "having roughly similar migration as several other rich countries" does mean not "open borders", as I think few people would claim that open borders is currently the state of entrance into most rich countries. (Certainly, as an immigrant in the UK, it has not been my experience.)

In answer to those points:

About one in four UK tourist visas is refused, which does not seem that easy. The UK has a relatively small number of migrants that arrive by sea, compared to other European countries with a long coastline. About half of asylum applications are denied. Most denied asylum seekers then leave the country.

So I stand by "open borders seems like quite the exaggeration".

Update: I have edited, and added a footnote saying you corrected me, linking to this comment, and noting that I offered you a bug bounty.

You're correct that I accidentally used the 2023 work visa total instead of 2024 work visa total.

I'll edit. As per my bug bounty policy, I'll also donate $10 to a charity of your choice: https://www.laurenpolicy.com/p/announcing-a-bug-bounty-for-this

That being said, I am relatively unconcerned about the fiscal effects of this given 1) dependents are allowed to work in the UK (unlike in the US), 2) cohort wages look decent through 2023, and 3) labor force participation for non-UK born remains higher than for the UK born (through 2025). 

So was I, tbh! It is also possible that there are more studies but they are in French and I cannot read them.

  1. I am not sure how to prove to you that people need income in the United States.
  2. As I say below, they say: "We found no impact on the overall likelihood of Germans to be victimized in a crime".  That is, refugees were not any likelier than Germans to commit crimes against Germans.  I said: "In Germany, refugees were not particularly likely to commit crimes against Germans".  I have accurately reported their results.
  3. I discuss below why simple descriptive statistics are insufficient to tell you if a group commits more crime than other groups.
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