All of leopold's Comments + Replies

The Future Fund’s Regranting Program

We’re planning to invite additional regrantors by the end of this month or so. We are evaluating regrantor expressions of interest/referrals for regrantors on a rolling basis, so please send these in as soon as possible.

1Michael Townsend3mo
Good to know, thanks!
The Future Fund’s Regranting Program

You are welcome to apply now!

Regrantors are able to make grants to people they know (in fact, having a diverse network is part of what makes for an effective regrantor); they just have to disclose if there's a conflict of interest, and we may reject a grant if we don't feel comfortable with it on those grounds. 

We don't currently have a network for regrantors that is open for external people to join.

The Future Fund’s Regranting Program

Thanks! We are not planning to publish the list of regrantors for now.

Existential Risk and Economic Growth

Hi Ben, thanks for your kind words, and so sorry for the delayed response. Thanks for your questions!

  1. Yes, this could definitely be the case. In terms of what the most effective intervention is, I don’t know. I agree that more work on this would be beneficial. One important consideration would be what intervention has the potential to raise the level of safety in the long run. Safety spending might only lead to a transitory increase in safety, or it could enable R&D that improves improves the level of safety in the long run. In the model, even slight

... (read more)
2Benjamin_Todd3y
Thank you!
Existential Risk and Economic Growth

Thanks!

Regarding your question, yes, you have the right idea. Growth of consumption per capita is growth in consumption technology plus growth in consumption work per capita — thus, while the fraction of workers in the consumption sector declines exponentially, consumption technology grows (due to increasing returns) quickly enough to offset that. This yields positive asymptotic growth of consumption per capita overall (on the specific asymptotic paths you are referring to). Note that the absolute total number of people working consumption *research* is s... (read more)

Existential Risk and Economic Growth

Sorry to hear that! I’m not sure why it’s doing that—it’s just hosted on Github. Try this direct link: https://leopoldaschenbrenner.github.io/xriskandgrowth/ExistentialRiskAndGrowth050.pdf

3Denkenberger3y
Thanks - it worked!
Existential Risk and Economic Growth

Thanks. I generally try to explain the intuition of what is going on in the body of the text—I would recommend focusing on that rather than on the exact mathematical formulations. I am not planning to write a summary at the moment, sorry.