Very interesting post, and one I'm sympathetic too, thanks!
A possible counter-argument is that the limited power of superintelligence in this domain is due to the space of strategies in chess being too constrained for for discovering radically new ideas. It is sometimes said that the space of possible strategies in Go is much larger than in chess, so I wonder if AlphaGo Zero presents a useful complementary case study. If, compared to chess, AlphaGo Zero discovers more strategies and ideas that humans have missed, or which are very hard to understand, that would suggest that as the state space grows more open and complex, superintelligence will become more powerful.
Very interesting post, and one I'm sympathetic too, thanks!
A possible counter-argument is that the limited power of superintelligence in this domain is due to the space of strategies in chess being too constrained for for discovering radically new ideas. It is sometimes said that the space of possible strategies in Go is much larger than in chess, so I wonder if AlphaGo Zero presents a useful complementary case study. If, compared to chess, AlphaGo Zero discovers more strategies and ideas that humans have missed, or which are very hard to understand, that would suggest that as the state space grows more open and complex, superintelligence will become more powerful.