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nemeryxu

PhD student @ UCLA
Pursuing a doctoral degree (e.g. PhD)
16Joined Aug 2022

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Researching AI governance at the intersection of political science and economics.

There is no evidence for a genetic component behind IQ differences between races.

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Information in risky technology races
nemeryxu8mo30

Thanks for your thoughts!

  1. Good question! I'll need to think more about this, but my initial impression is that regular surveying of developers about AI progress could help by quantifying their level of uncertainty over the arrival rate of particular milestones, which is likely correlated with how they believe expected capabilities investments map onto progress.
  2. That seems right, though it likely depends upon how substitutable safety research is across firms.
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