All of Oliver Z's Comments + Replies

Yup, wanted to confirm here the ~100x in efficacy comes from getting 10x in relevance and 10x in ability (from selecting someone 10x better than the average research scientist).

Regarding the relative value of PhD vs scientist: the model currently values the average scientist at ~10x the average PhD at graduation (which seem broadly consistent with the selectivity of becoming a scientist and likely underrepresents the research impact as measured by citations—the average scientist likely has more than 10x the citation count as the average PhD). Then, the 5 years includes the PhD growing significantly as they gain more research experience, so the earlier years will not be as productive as their final year.

2
Ben_West
8mo
I'm confused where these assumptions are stored. All of the parameter files I see in GitHub have all of the `ability_at_*` variables set equal to one. And when I print out the average of `qa.mean_ability_piecewise` for all the models that also appears to be one. Where is the 10x coming from?

Yup, due to the FTX Collapse, the competition was no longer funded.

7
Annie
1y
Thank you for the update!  It might also be a good idea to tag the competition as closed on all the relevant forums.

Yup! The bounty is still ongoing. We have been awarding prizes throughout the duration of the bounty and will post an update in January detailing the results.

Thanks for letting me know! I missed that it was until September. Will do!

Answer by Oliver ZOct 12, 202212
0
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The Center for AI Safety is hiring for four roles: Project Manager, Operations Manager, Research Engineer, and Chief of Staff.

Our mission is to promote safety and x-risk in the broader ML community. We envision a world in which most ML researchers are familiar with the arguments for risks from AI and a significant proportion of them are working directly on relevant safety problems.

To this end, we conduct empirical safety research and run various field-building projects (e.g., safety competitions, workshops, fellowships, and summer progr... (read more)

2
Lorenzo Buonanno
2y
Hi Oliver! Relatively few people are looking at this post now, since it was May-September. It might make sense to (also) make a post with the tag job listing (open)

Whether the program recurs likely depends on a few different factors including the results of the first iteration of the program. Assuming things all go well; however, we would be excited to run this again next year.

1
Calvin_Baker
2y
Thanks, Oliver! And am I reading the website correctly that the fellowship is full time, such that participants won't be able to devote any time to their current research agendas (aside from weekends/evenings etc.)?