Yup, wanted to confirm here the ~100x in efficacy comes from getting 10x in relevance and 10x in ability (from selecting someone 10x better than the average research scientist).
Regarding the relative value of PhD vs scientist: the model currently values the average scientist at ~10x the average PhD at graduation (which seem broadly consistent with the selectivity of becoming a scientist and likely underrepresents the research impact as measured by citations—the average scientist likely has more than 10x the citation count as the average PhD). Then, the 5 years includes the PhD growing significantly as they gain more research experience, so the earlier years will not be as productive as their final year.
Yup, due to the FTX Collapse, the competition was no longer funded.
Yup! The bounty is still ongoing. We have been awarding prizes throughout the duration of the bounty and will post an update in January detailing the results.
Thanks for letting me know! I missed that it was until September. Will do!
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