TeddyW

61 karmaJoined Working (15+ years)

Posts
5

Sorted by New
2
TeddyW
· · 1m read
-14
10
TeddyW
· · 1m read
11
TeddyW
· · 1m read
12
TeddyW
· · 1m read

Comments
36

Climate change derives from Stefhan-Boltzmann's law together with the spectral dependence of the emissivity of various gasses.  Stefhan-Boltzmann's law has fundamental theoretical  and experimental support. 

This is the basis upon which climate models rest.  This basis is unquestioned. 

You appear to be claiming that climate change is not an existential risk?  The term boogeyman includes the judgement that the fears were unfounded.  Climate change is a demonstrable real problem, and consequently not a boogeyman.

For something to be a boogeyman, it has to be an imagined danger that captures the fears of a lot of otherwise rational people.

Answer by TeddyW6
0
0
1

Your Tech Transfer office is a member of AUTM.  AUTM encourages licenses that include altruistic clauses.  For example, the license could waive royalties for sales in third world countries when the licensee is selling at cost.

  Such a deal allows the licensee to make a profit on first world sales to recover development costs and also recognize the altruistic value.  Most inventions require development money and if open sourced they die from lack of funding.

"when I know a bunch of excellent forecasters..."

Perhaps your sampling techniques are better than Tetlock's then.

Answer by TeddyW2
0
0

Highly effective causes saturate, making it impossible to distribute large sums of money especially more effectively.

Answer by TeddyW3
0
0

AGI is more likely to save us from all-cause existential risk than it is likely to kill us all. 

Load more