All of Teo Ajantaival's Comments + Replies

Greetings. :) This comment seems to concern a strongly NU-focused reading of the nonconsequentialist sections, which is understandable given that NU, particularly, its hedonistic version, NHU, is probably by far the most salient and well-known example of a minimalist moral view.

However, my post’s focus is much broader than that. The post doesn’t even mention NU except in the example given in footnote 2, and is never restricted to NHU (nor to NU of any kind, if the utilitarian part would entail a commitment to additive aggregation). For brevity, many e... (read more)

I like how the sequence engages with several kinds of uncertainties that one might have.

I had two questions:

1. Does the sequence assume a ‘good minus bad’ view, where independent bads (particularly, severe bads like torture-level suffering) can always be counterbalanced or offset by a sufficient addition of independent goods?

  • (Some of the main problems with this premise are outlined here, as part of a post where I explore what might be the most intuitive ways to think of wellbeing without it.)

2. Does the sequence assume an additive / summative / Archim... (read more)

3
Bob Fischer
6mo
Hi Teo. Those are important uncertainties, but our sequences doesn't engage with them. There's only so much we could cover! We'd be glad to do some work in this vein in the future, contingent on funding. Thanks for raising these significant issues.

Related:

  • Reply by Vinding (2022)

Perhaps see also:

It seems like in terms of extending lives minimalist views have an Epicurean view of the badness of death / value of life? The good of saving a life is only the spillovers (what the person would do to the wellbeing of others, the prevented grief, etc).

Solely for one's own sake, yes, I believe that experientialist minimalist views generally agree with the Epicurean view of the badness of death. But I think it's practically wise to always be mindful of how narrow the theoretical, individual-focused, 'all else equal' view is. As I note in the introduction,

in

... (read more)

Regarding the existing measures of 'life satisfaction' (and perhaps how to reinterpret them in minimalist terms), I should first note that I'm not very familiar with how they're operationalized. But my hunch is that they might easily measure more of an 'outside view' of one's entire life — as if one took a 3rd person, aggregative look at it — rather than a more direct, 'inside view' of how one feels in the present moment. And I think that at least for the experientialist minimalist views that were explored in the post, it might make more sense to think of ... (read more)

Thanks, and no worries about the scope! Others may know better about the practical/quantification questions, but I'll say what comes to mind.

1. Rather than assuming positive units, one could interpret wellbeing changes in comparative terms (of betterness/worseness), which don't presuppose an offsetting view. For some existing measures, perhaps this would be only a matter of reinterpreting the data. A challenge would be how to account for the relational value of e.g. additional life years, given that experientialist minimalist views wouldn't consider them a... (read more)

3
Samuel Dupret
9mo
Thank you for taking the time to reply. Your responses to 1a and 1b make sense to me. 2 I'm still exploring and turning these ideas around in my mind - thank you for the paper. I wonder if some of this can be tested by asking people about their number of desires, general life satisfaction, % life satisfaction/desires fulfilled.  If I may, I'd like to expand a bit on number 1. * It seems like in terms of extending lives minimalist views have an Epicurean view of the badness of death / value of life? The good of saving a life is only the spillovers (what the person would do to the wellbeing of others, the prevented grief, etc). * If we narrow the scope to improving existing lives, is the general conclusion of minimalist wellbeing theories that we should deliver interventions that prevent/reduce suffering rather than add wellbeing?   

Maps are great!

I also love the Maps of Science, by Dominic Walliman (@Domain of Science): https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLOYRlicwLG3St5aEm02ncj-sPDJwmojIS

Offtopic: This post was a joy to read. Would love to read if you have any thoughts to share about writing in general, but no worries if not. :) Welcome to the forum.

7
jenn
10mo
Thank you! Honestly, I think all of the advice that I could give has been said better by Scott here: https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/02/20/writing-advice/ He's been a really big influence on the way that I think, and also my writing style :)

Just listened to it! The pleasant and thoughtful narration by Adrian Nelson felt perfect for the book. I might even recommend the audiobook version over the text version to people who might otherwise find it distressing to think about s-risks. :)

Thanks for the screencast. I listened to it — with a ‘skip silence’ feature to skip the typing parts — instead of watching, so I may have missed some points. But I’ll comment on some points that felt salient to me. (I opt out of debating due to lack of time, as it seems that we may not have that many relevantly diverging perspectives to try to bridge.)

 

Error One

I didn't read linked material to try to clarify matters, except to notice that this linked paper abstract doesn't use the word "quality". I think, for this issue, the article should stand

... (read more)

Hey, I had PM'd you that I've been busy and will reply once I've checked out the longish recording. It's on my list for next week. :) Edit: Unfortunately I fell ill with a lot of urgent stuff piling up, so I'll just reply to this once I get to it.

Sounds interesting. Can we submit our own writing? If so, I'm curious what might be important errors in this post.

1
Elliot Temple
1y
You appear to be in violation of the game rules because you haven't opted into a debate or opted out of debating.

Error One

Archimedean views (“Quantity can always substitute for quality”)

Let us look at comparable XVRCs for Archimedean views. (Archimedean views roughly say that “quantity can always substitute for quality”, such that, for example, a sufficient number of minor pains can always be added up to be worse than a single instance of extreme pain.)

It's ambiguous/confusing about whether by "quality" you mean different quantity sizes, as in your example (substitution between small pains and a big pain), or you actually mean qualitatively different things (e.g... (read more)

2
Elliot Temple
1y
yes that's fine

Relevant recent posts:

https://www.simonknutsson.com/undisturbedness-as-the-hedonic-ceiling/

https://centerforreducingsuffering.org/phenomenological-argument/

(I think these unpack a view I share, better than I have.)

Edit: For tranquilist and Epicurean takes, I also like Gloor (2017, sec. 2.1) and Sherman (2017, pp. 103–107), respectively.

To modify the monk case, what if we could (costlessly; all else equal) make the solitary monk feel a notional 11 units of pleasure followed by 10 units of suffering?

Or, extreme pleasure of "+1001" followed by extreme suffering of "-1000"?

Cases like these make me doubt the assumption of happiness as an independent good. I know meditators who claim to have learned to generate pleasure at will in jhana states, who don't buy the hedonic arithmetic, and who prefer the states of unexcited contentment over states of intense pleasure.

So I don't want to impose, fro... (read more)

I’m not sure if “pleasure” is the right word. I certainly think that improving one’s mental state is always good, even if this starts at a point in which there is no negative experience at all.

This might not involve increasing “pleasure”. Instead it could be increasing the amount of “meaning” felt or “love” felt. If monks say they prefer contentment over intense pleasure then fine - I would say the contentment state is hedonically better in some way.

This is probably me defining “hedonically better” differently to you but it doesn’t really matter. The point is I think you can improve the wellbeing of someone who is experiencing no suffering and that this is objectively a desirable thing to do.

I kindly ask third parties to be mindful of the following points concerning the above reply.

(1)

  • It calls a part of my comment extremely misleading based on an incomplete quote whose omitted context provides a better sense of what I am talking about. Specifically, the omitted beginning clarifies that I am discussing “strong pessimism [i.e. the view that there are no independent goods]”, and noting how I personally find it a perfectly valid view to equate my positive value with whether my life has overall positive roles under that view. And the omitted ending
... (read more)
Would an agent who accepted strong pessimism [i.e. the view that there are no independent goods]—which I absolutely believe we should reject—have most reason to end their own life? Not necessarily. An altruistic agent with this evaluative outlook would have strong instrumental reason to remain alive, in order to alleviate the suffering of others.

I agree that life can be worth living for our positive roles in terms of reducing overall suffering or dukkha. More than that, such a view seems (to me at least) like a perfectly valid view on what constitutes eval... (read more)

6
Richard Y Chappell
2y
I'm concerned that this comment has received so many upvotes.  I just want to flag two major concerns I have with it: (1) This is extremely misleading.  You make it sound like the author favours causing a net increase in suffering for his own personal gain.  But of course that is not remotely fair or accurate. What he absolutely rejects is the idea that there are no positive goods (i.e., positive welfare has no moral value).  The alternative, "Positive Goods" view implies that it can be permissible to do things that include some additional suffering, so long as there are sufficient offsetting gains (possibly to those same individuals -- the author didn't take any stand on the further issue of interpersonal tradeoffs). For example, suppose you had the option of bringing into existence a (causally isolated) blissful world, with the only exception being that one person will at one point stub their toes (a brief moment of suffering in their otherwise blissful life). Still, every single person on this world would be extremely happy to be alive (for objective list theorists: feel free to add in other positive goods, e.g. knowledge, accomplishment, friendship, etc.). The "No Positive Goods" view implies that it would be wrong to allow such a blissful world to exist. The author -- along with pretty much every expert in moral philosophy -- absolutely rejects this view. Again, I want to emphasize how misleading I find it to characterize this as endorsing "increasing suffering", since in ordinary use we only describe lives as "suffering" when they have overall negative welfare, and we typically use "increasing suffering" to mean increasing suffering on net, i.e. more than one increases positive well-being. To give someone a blissful life + a stubbed toe is not, as most people use the term, to "increase suffering".  I would urge you in future to be clearer about how you are using this phrase in an unusually literal way (and also please avoid making it sound like your interl

Thanks for compiling this! The structure feels very approachable. The bar for engagement is also greatly lowered by your inclusion of the recap, the comparison of theories, and the pointers for discussion and feedback.

Regarding the linked sections, the strongest consensus about the definition of flourishing indeed seems to involve an emphasis on relationships, purpose, and meaning. To me, this emphasis seems to be in tension with the tendency of standard (welfarist) population ethics to only count welfare as a kind of isolated "score" that applies to each ... (read more)

1
davidhartsough
2y
Thanks Teo! Thank you for these thoughtful reflections! This is exactly the kind of discussions I was hoping this might generate. Hmmm, depends on how magical your machine is 😅 and not to be that guy again, but it depends on your definition of flourishing. (I'm choosing to not impose any of my own ideas in this post and even in the comments for now.) Let's take the PERMA theory of well-being from Seligman as an example though. He'd probably say: "If the machine completely stimulates a reality in which I can pursue some or all of these lifestyles of PERMA, then I could flourish in it. So if I could experience and cultivate positive emotions and engagement, and if I could have other simulated beings with me to relate to and build meaning with, then you've probably got an experience machine that allows for flourishing." To be fair though, I'm not sure Seligman is clear on intricate details within this, such the questions of "what about relationships in particular do humans truly value?" or "what might the machine need to offer to help people forge meaning?" or "what might one do in the machine to experience engagement?" I feel bad leaving this question largely unanswered for you, but I'll let you and others discuss! It seems as though so many of these theories are hinting at intrinsic values, yet it's strange to not see the term widely used in the literature. For example, the last 2 theories listed in this document make a claim to say that each element in the model is "universally desired", "an end in and of itself", and "pursued by many people for its own sake, not merely to get any of the other elements." That kind of phrasing really insinuates "universal intrinsic values". So I think these psychologists would pretty much all say, "yeah, flourishing directly relates to intrinsic values." Ok, I'll "give in" (AKA step outside my choice to not impose my own thoughts) just for a moment here to give you 2 hot takes: #1.) Those two theorists, Seligman and Vande

(Continued)

Your comment above makes all sense regarding the literal questions (even if not the implicit worries that I intended to respond to); thanks for elaborating. :)

Still, I would not reduce my (theoretical) response to the implicit worries all the way down to "yes, but actually that's fine and you shouldn't be worried about it". The "yes" is buried in the middle in 2.3 because it's not the end of the theoretical response. After that, the following sections 2.4–2.6 still address a lot of points that may be relevant for our potential intuitions (such a... (read more)

Hi Rohin; I apologize for being vague and implicit; I agree that the first question is not complex, and I should've clarified that I'm primarily responding to the related (but in the post, almost completely implicit) worries which I think are much more complex than the literal questions are. You helped me realize just now that the post may look like it's primarily answering the written-down questions, even though the main reason for all my elaboration (on the assumptions, possible biases, comparison with offsetting views, etc.) was to respond to the implic... (read more)

In relation to purely suffering-focused views, I also argue here that people may sometimes jump to hasty conclusions about human extinction due to certain forms of misconceived (i.e. non-impartial) consequentialism, and argue (drawing on the linked resources) that an impartial approach would imply strong heuristics of cooperation and nonviolence.

2
Anthony Fleming
2y
Interesting, thank you for sharing. A lot of this debate centers around our interpretations of consequentialism.

Only semi-interested or want to rest your eyes? The Nonlinear Library’s auto-narration reads this post quite well, though I recommend checking the diagrams in 2.3 and 2.5.

(SpotifyAppleGoogle | Duration of main text: 45 minutes.)

Thanks for summarizing it.

The worries I respond to are complex and the essay has many main points. Like any author, I hope that people would consider the points in their proper context (and not take them out of context). One main point is the contextualization of the worries itself, which is highlighted by the overviews (1.1–1.2) focusing a lot on the relevant assumptions and on minding the gap between theory and practice.

To complex questions, I don't think it's useful to reduce answers to either "yes" or "no", especially when the answers rest on unrealistic assumptions and look very different in theory versus practice. Between theory and practice, I also tend to consider the practical implications more important.

4
Rohin Shah
2y
I don't think these are complex questions! If your minimalist axiology ranks based on states of the world (and not actions except inasmuch as they lead to states of the world), then the best possible value to achieve is zero. Assuming this is achieved by an empty universe, then there is nothing strictly better than taking an action that creates an empty universe forever! This is a really easy to prove theorem! I believe that it's a complex question whether or not this should be a dealbreaker for adopting a minimalist axiology, but that's not the question you wrote down. The answers to  really are just straightforwardly "yes", for state-based minimalist axiologies where an empty universe has none of the thing you want to minimize, which is the thing you are analyzing in this post unless I have totally misread it.
a reason to focus more on these other important traits relative to IQ — at the level of what we seek to develop individually and incentivize collectively — is that many of these other traits and skills probably are more elastic and improvable than is IQ

+1. To the extent that IQ may be difficult to improve, it seems good to focus on improving the other important virtues. Yet perhaps people might (for some roles) select heavily for IQ precisely because it — unlike the more improvable virtues — can not so easily be improved after the selection.

(This might also in part explain how commenters might be sometimes talking of different things, i.e. "what to cultivate" versus "what to select for".)

Re: community, people have discussed potential downsides of the name 'effective altruism'.

(Independent of any wishes to change the name of existing EA things, I think it's good to be aware of those potential downsides.)

Thanks; I (too) briefly tried imagining other categories, but was quite happy with those four!

Regarding the first distinction, there is this recent (free) book that argues for the possibility of better politics by more strongly keeping normative and empirical assumptions separate from each other (which is called "the two-step ideal" in Chapter 1, pp. 9–17). I read the book twice and found it very illuminating on that distinction. Note that the book itself takes no normative step until Chapter 7, so it's not all about reducing suffering.

Red team: What non-arbitrary views in population axiology do avoid the “Very Repugnant Conclusion” (VRC)?

Context/Explanation:

According to Budolfson & Spears (2018), “the VRC cannot be avoided by any leading welfarist axiology despite prior consensus in the literature to the contrary”, and “[the extended] VRC cannot be avoided by any other welfarist axiology in the literature.”

Yet surely we need not limit our views to the ones that were included in their analysis.

Bonus points if the team scrutinizes some assumptions that are commonly taken as unquestio... (read more)

4
MichaelStJules
2y
I think there are plenty of views which avoid the original VRC, basically any that avoids the original repugnant conclusion, including average utilitarianism, maximin, rank-discounted utilitarianism, person-affecting views, etc.. For the extended VRC, I would recommend the contractualist Scanlon’s “Greater Burden Principle”, or the deontological animal rights theorist Regan’s “harm principle”, both according to which (from my understanding) a greater individual burden or harm to one should be prioritized over any number lesser burdens or harms to others, all else equal, as well as principles for "limited aggregation" which allow some aggregation when comparing burdens or harms of sufficiently similar severity or “relevance”. These are different from lexical views, maximin, etc., in that that they aim to minimize the largest loss in welfare, not necessarily improve the welfare of the worst off individual or experience, or ensure everyone's welfare is above some lexical threshold. * Scanlon, T. M., Sen, A., & Williams, B. (1982). Contractualism and utilitarianism. * Regan, T. (1985). THE DOG IN THE LIFEBOAT-AN EXCHANGE. New York Review of Books, 32(7), 56-57. * "limited aggregation" on Google Scholar.
the theory that only suffering [independently] matters. But this theory is transparently false/silly.

A more intuitive phrasing of essentially the same idea may be found in tranquilism (2017), to which I have never seen a reply that would show how and where it is transparently silly. (In population axiology, many people would find views that imply the "Very Repugnant Conclusion" transparently silly.)

In case anyone missed it, there was a popular AMA about psychedelics research and philanthropy in May 2021.

For this forum, I would agree that it seems best to present the original question in maximally neutral terms, and then separately post your own examples as separate answers, so that the answers can get their own votes and/or discussion threads.

Regarding CRS, we are actually in the process of registering in the US, have received more donations, and are open to applicants for remote roles.

For me (currently with minimalist intuitions), the repugnance depends on whether the lives in the larger population are assumed to never suffer (cf. this section). Judging from the different answers here, people seem to indeed have wildly different interpretations about what those lives feel like.

At one extreme, they could contain absolutely no craving for change and be simply lacking in additional bliss; at the other, they could be roller coaster lives in which extreme craving is assumed to be slightly positively counterbalanced by some of their other mom... (read more)

Pleasures of learning may be explained by closing open loops, which include unsatisfied curiosity and reflection-based desires for resolving contradictions. And I think anticipated relief is implicitly tracking not only the unmet needs of our future self, but also the unmet needs of others, which we have arguably 'cognitively internalized' (from our history of growing up in an interpersonal world).

Descriptively, some could say that pleasure does exist as a 'separable' phenomenon, but deny that it has any independently aggregable axiological value. Tranquil... (read more)

8
Will Bradshaw
2y
I think any scenario that involves hypothetical vast populations in a very simple abstract universe isn't going to change my views here. I can't actually imagine that scenario (a flaw with many thought experiments), so I'm forced to fall back on small-scale intuitions + intellectual beliefs. The latter say such a thing would be the right thing to do, given a sufficiently large blissful population and all the caveats and restrictions that always apply in these thought experiments.  I think trying to convince the former might be more tractable, but big abstract thought experiments like this don't do that, because they are so unimaginable and unrealistic. That's (one framing of) why I'm looking for something less abstract. This is what I was trying to get at in the OP, though I accept I wasn't super clear about what exactly I was & wasn't looking for.

Which examples of pleasure cannot be explained as contentment, relief, or anticipated relief?

Those are how I currently think of pleasure as being inversely related to craving to change one's experience. Below are some perhaps useful resources for such views:

... (read more)
6
Omnizoid
2y
Most of them.  The experience of reading a good book, having sex,  the joy of helping others, the joy of learning philosophy, and nearly every other happy experience seems distinct from being merely the absence of pain.  Very good moments do not merely contain the absence of unpleasantness--they contain good qualia.  I think our knowledge of our own mental states is reasonably reliable (our memory of them isn't though) and we can be pretty confident that our well-being is, in fact, desirable.  The anti-phenomenon claim seems strange and run counter to my own view of my experiences.  I'm sure it would be possible to find meditators who came to the opposite conclusion about well-being.  

More recent arguments for lexical views are found here:


Also, if we are comparing additively aggregationist NU with additively aggregationist CU, then we should arguably compare the plausibility of their (strongest) repugnant conclusions with each other:


For me, the core issue is the implicit assumption of all else being equal and what it implies for the metaphor of counterbalancing. Specifically, I don’t think any torture is positively counterbalanced by the creat... (read more)

1
Pablo
2y
Although this is an interesting argument, I think it fails against the most plausible versions of hedonistic utilitarianism. The reason I think pleasant experiences are intrinsically good is simply that I believe I can apprehend their goodness directly, by becoming immediately acquainted with how those experiences feel like. This is exactly the same mechanism that I think gives me access to the intrinsic badness of unpleasant experiences. I think it's much harder to debunk a belief in the intrinsic goodness of pleasantness rooted in this kind of immediate acquaintance, than it is to debunk beliefs about the value of other objects whose goodness cannot be directly introspected. But should I become persuaded that the debunking arguments could be extended to my beliefs about the goodness of pleasant experience, I would become persuaded that my beliefs about the badness of unpleasant experience are also debunkable. So the argument gives no dialectical advantage to the negative utilitarian vis-à-vis this type of hedonistic utilitarian.
3
Omnizoid
2y
I'll first respond to the first article you linked.  The problem I see with this solution is it violates some combination of completeness and transitivity.  Vinding says that we can say that for this list (1 e′-object, 1 e-object, 2 e-objects, 3 e-objects) we can say that 3e-objects are categorically worse than any number of 1e' objects but that some number of 1e' objects can be worse than 1e-objects, which can be worse than 2 e-objects, and so on.  This runs into an issue.   If we say that 1000 e' objects are worse than 1 e-object and 1000 e-objects are worse than 1 2 e-object, and 1000 2e-objects are worse than 1 3e-object than we get the following inequality  1 trillion e' objects > 1 billion e - objects> 1 million 2e-objects>1000 3e-objects.   The fifth example runs into a similar problem to the one addressed in this post.  We can just apply the calculation at the level of populations.  Surely inflicting 10000 units of pain on one person is less bad than inflicting 9999 units of pain on 10^100^100 people.   The second article that you linked runs into a similar problem.  It says that what matters is the experience rather than the temperature--thus, it claims that steadily lowering the temperature and asking the NU at what point they'd pinpoint a firm threshold is misleading.  However, we can use units of pain rather than temperature.  While it's hard to precisely quantify units of pain, we have an intuitive grasp of very bad pain, and we can similarly grasp the pain being lessened slightly.   Next, Vinding argues consent views avoid this problem.  Consent views run into several issues.  1 Contrary to Vinding's indication, there is in fact a firm point at which people no longer consent.  For any people, if offered googolplex utils per second unit of torture, there is a firm point at which they would stop consenting.  The consent views would have to say that misery slightly above this threshold categorically outweighs misery slightly below this threshold.  

Thanks for the reply!


Re. 1 (ie. "The primary issue with the VRC is aggregation rather than trade-off"). I take it we should care about plausibility of axiological views with respect to something like 'commonsense' intuitions, rather than those a given axiology urges us to adopt.

Agreed, and this is also why I focus also on the psychological and practical implications of axiological views, and not only on their theoretical implications. Especially in the EA(-adjacent) community, it seems common to me that the plausibility of theoretical views is assessed als... (read more)

Thanks!


I'm curious about your takes on the value-inverted versions of the repugnant and very-repugnant conclusions.

I’m not sure what exactly they are. If either of them means to “replace a few extremely miserable lives with many, almost perfectly untroubled ones”, then it does not sound repugnant to me. But maybe you meant something else.

(Perhaps see also these comments about adding slightly less miserable people to hell to reduce the most extreme suffering therein, which seems, to me at least, to result in an overall more preferable population when repeat... (read more)

I wonder if people differ in how they interpret the all else being equal assumption. In the linked post, I suggest that we make sure to properly respect that (radically unrealistic) assumption, and think of the population-ethics lives as being isolated Matrix-lives that never interact with each other.

Thus, the standard framework of population ethics causes me to feel very differently about the addition of isolated happy lives (that never make any difference for others) vs. relational happy lives (that can and do make a difference).

When we give insufficient... (read more)

For NU (including lexical threshold NU), this can mean adding an arbitrarily huge number of new people to hell to barely reduce the suffering for each person in a sufficiently large population already in hell.

What would it mean to repeat this step (up to an infinite number of times)?

Intuitively, it sounds to me like the suffering gets divided more equally between those who already exist and those who do not, which ultimately leads to an infinite population where everyone has a subjectively perfect experience.

In the finite case, it leads to an extremely ... (read more)

(Edit: Added a note(*) on minimalist views and the extended VRC of Budolfson & Spears.)

Thanks for highlighting an important section for discussion. Let me try to respond to your points. (I added the underline in them just to unburden the reader’s working memory.)


This seems wrong to me,

The quoted passage contained many claims; which one(s) seemed wrong to you?


and confusing 'finding the VRC counter-intuitive' with 'counterbalancing (/extreme) bad with with good in any circumstance is counterintuitive' (e.g. the linked article to Omelas) is unfortunate -
... (read more)
6
Gregory Lewis
2y
Thanks for the reply, and with apologies for brevity. Re. 1 (ie. "The primary issue with the VRC is aggregation rather than trade-off"). I take it we should care about plausibility of axiological views with respect to something like 'commonsense' intuitions, rather than those a given axiology urges us to adopt. It's at least opaque to me whether commonsense intuitions are more offended by 'trade-offy/CU' or 'no-trade-offy/NU' intuitions. On the one hand: * "Any arbitrarily awful thing can be better than nothing providing it is counterbalanced by k good things (for some value of k)" * (a fortiori) "N awful things can be better than nothing providing they are counterbalanced by k*N good things (and N can be arbitrarily large, say a trillion awful lives)." But on the other: * "No amount of good things (no matter how great their magnitude) can compensate for a single awful thing, no matter how astronomical the ratio (e.g. trillions to 1, TREE(3) to 1, whatever)." * (a fortiori) "No amount of great things can compensate for a single bad thing, no matter how small it is (e.g. pinpricks, a minute risk of an awful thing)" However, I am confident the aggregation views - basically orthogonal to this question - are indeed the main driver for folks finding the V/RC particularly repugnant. Compare: 1. 1 million great lives vs. 1 million terrible lives and a Quadrillion great lives. 2. 1 thousand great lives vs. 1 thousand terrible lives and TREE(3) marginally good lives. A minimalist view may well be concerned with increasing the amount of aggregate harm in 1 vs. 2, and so worry that (re. 2) if CU was willing to accept this, it would accept a lot more aggregate harm if we increase the upside to more than compensate (e.g. TREE(3) great lives). Yet I aver commonsense intuitions favour 1 over 2, and would find variants of 2 where the downside is increased but the upside is reduced but concentrated (e.g. a trillion great lives) more palatable.  So appeals along the lin

Yeah, I guess some people use the names interchangeably. I agree that it can be useful to look at them separately, which was done in Fehige (1998). Their difference is also described in the following way (on Wikipedia):

[Parfit] claims that on the face of it, it may not be absurd to think that B is better than A. Suppose, then, that B is in fact better than A ... . It follows that this revised intuition must hold in subsequent iterations of the original steps. For example, the next iteration would add even more people to B+, and then take the average of th
... (read more)

That disclaimer for technical articles sounds good. :) Also, yeah, perhaps the authors themselves can pre-test their potentially tricky articles with some (similar enough) TTS, and then decide whether to opt out of the library. (Perhaps disclaimers could also exist for articles with a sufficient amount of hyperlinks, since many people use those instead of only explicit in-text references.)

On a side note, if for whatever reason you would not like your content in The Nonlinear Library, just fill out this form. We can remove that particular article or add you to a list to never add your content to the library, whichever you prefer.

Could post authors also get to first listen to what their post would sound like?

(For some posts, it might be perhaps difficult to know in advance whether the automatic narration would cause too many misunderstandings to be a net positive in audio form. This might be especially relevant for posts that were never meant... (read more)

2
Kat Woods
2y
I agree some posts will come out better in TTS than others. One thing we’re looking into doing is setting up some simple rules that will lead to some articles not being posted (e.g. a critical mass of images or numbers), or maybe a little disclaimer at the front of such articles along the lines of “This article has a lot of numbers in it, so you might want to consider reading the original at [Source]”. Regardless, if ever anybody feels like the article has come out too bad to be net positive, they can fill out this form (t.ly/G73f) and we’ll remove it. Or, if you think in advance it’s not going to be good, just let us know (through the form or our contact form t.ly/YBIr) and we can make sure it never goes up. :)

Interesting! Of course, the experience might be, in some ways, quite confusing compared to a human narration. For example, the automatic narration does not seem to separate headings or quotes from the main text. Could the AI be taught to identify headings and quotes, and make them stand out?

(E.g., headings might be ideally narrated with longer pauses, and quotes perhaps even in a different voice.)

Another difference between automatic vs. human narration: The automatic narration does not notify the listener whenever they might miss some meaningful hyperlink ... (read more)

Great post, thanks! What are some related concepts for understanding this? Echo chambers and selection effects come to mind, but I wonder if there are other equally related concepts nearby.

2
Davis_Kingsley
3y
One relevant concept might be that of the feedback loop, where the output of a process affects the input. For instance, if you survey only people who are already attending your events as to how to improve them, you might wind up missing ways to improve it for those who didn't attend. After several cycles of this you might wind up with an event that is very appealing for the "in crowd" but which doesn't much appeal to newcomers.

‘Nordic school metamodernism’ has been an interesting complement and contrast to EA in my experience.

They have an active forum of people who are passionate about things like cognitive complexity, political philosophy, and societal development beyond moral relativism. They have two provocative books (dense with interesting ideas imo), the first of which was just released on Audible. In general, I find them to be ambitious, secular, sane, and attempting to make things better for all sentient beings. (The style of the half-fictional author, the great philosop... (read more)

If we want - but cannot afford - to help everyone, we need to prioritize to help as much as we can.

Was there some evidence that some psychedelics may have anti-addictive efficacy even at sub-psychedelic doses, or do the anti-addictive effects depend on the psychedelic experience?

1
Dr. Matthew W. Johnson
3y
All the existing evidence is for higher doses. But who know?
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