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ElliotJDavies

908 karmaJoined Mar 2020Copenhagen, Denmark

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Announcement: you can now listen to all new EA Forum posts
ElliotJDavies5d30

I personally find this very valuable - thanks for the work here. As text to voice gets better, I expect to it increasingly valuable

Asking for online resources why AI now is near AGI
Answer by ElliotJDaviesMay 18, 202320

This is a big question, of which there are many benchmarks and prediction markets to hint at a potential answer. Here are two potential prediction markets worth looking at:

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-first-agi-strong/

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

Fatebook for Slack: Track your forecasts, right where your team works
ElliotJDavies24d10

Great job - have installed on our slack

Just a heads up, the website doesn't have a https certificate

[SEE EDIT] No, *You* Need to Write Clearer
ElliotJDavies1mo23

This helps people "parse" your

Just a note, this sentence is unfinished

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EA might systematically generate a scarcity mindset that produces low-integrity actors
ElliotJDavies1mo10

I feel like there's a large leap in the ToC between "throw more parties", "make funding less related to results" and producing more high integrity actors.

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