All of haven's Comments + Replies

Hey Vasco! I just read the summary here, so my apologies if I'm missing something important.

I think I disagree with the line of reasoning you're following. For instance, you say:

>>I estimated its HSI has been 0.0292 % as cost-effective as HIPF accounting for effects on the target beneficiaries, and soil ants, termites, springtails, mites, and nematodes.

It would be very surprising to me if we can know with any degree of confidence that exploratory research into highly speculative areas is >3000X more cost effective than Shrimp Welfare Project's mai... (read more)

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Vasco Grilo🔸
Thanks for the comment, Haven. You say SWP's HSI "seems to be one of the most cost effective [programs] on the planet". Is this mostly because it has helped lots of shrimp per $ (I estimated 15 k shrimp per $)? If so, and your best guess is that soil animals have negative lives in expectation, you should consider CEARCH's HIPF much more cost-effective because it affects way more animals (I estimated it decreases 5.07 billion soil-animal-years per $)? For SWP's HSI to have increased the welfare of shrimp more cost-effectively than HIPF increases welfare, HSI having helped 1 shrimp would have to be better than HIPF decreasing 338 k soil-animal-years (= 5.07*10^9/(15*10^3)). Assuming that welfare per animal-year is proportional to "number of neurons as a fraction of that of humans"^"exponent of the number of neurons"[1], HIPF is always way more cost-effective than HSI has been. I am very uncertain about whether soil animals have positive or negative lives, but it is common for people to have a best guess that wild invertebrates have negative lives. I supposed the welfare per animal-year of soil ants/termites/springtails/mites/nematodes is -25 % that of fully happy soil ants/termites/springtails/mites/nematodes. I assumed this holds for all biomes, but I guess there is variation in reality. Karolina Sarek, Joey Savoie, and David Moss estimated -42 % for the “wild bug” in 2018, which is more negative than what I assumed. I believe recommending on equal foot many interventions with similar marginal cost-effectiveness would definitely make sense. However, I estimate HSI has been only 0.0292 % as cost-effective as HIPF, which is a very large difference. I suspect we mostly disagree about the differences in cost-effectiveness, not about what to recommend conditional on the differences in cost-effectiveness. 1. ^ I describe this formula in the 2nd bullet of the summary here. For an exponent of 0.188, the formula explains 78.6 % of the variance in the welfare ran

Thanks for your nice post Annika! It was a pleasure having you here, and you are definitely right that this internship would not have happened had you not gone out of the way to pitch yourself to us.

One of the reasons we were keen to have you was that you are an EA student group leader. This is probably relevant for other students seeking internships or jobs as well: Being an EA student leader often means something to recruiters at EA organizations. For instance, I know that one of the reasons I was accepted into the Charity Entrepreneurship Incubation Pro... (read more)

Thanks for your comment. A few points/pushback:

1 - The animal movement has grown a lot, but that doesn't mean it has grown enough. I think about this in the same way I think about efforts to eradicate extreme poverty: Such poverty has diminished significantly over the past few decades, but it still probably needs more (and cleverer) allocation of resources to truly be eradicated. Animal welfare, IMO, is in a much earlier stage still (but that's not to say we haven't made progress!).

2 - Various orgs do offer student internships (which is great), but I don't... (read more)

All makes sense!

>>But maybe this brings about a larger, more diverse pool of talented advocates that attract people in their cities and countries, and more local hubs grow? 

Some truth to this I'd say, but it's just tradeoffs. Obviously the best thing is for there to be lots of fully remote roles, AND lots of in-person roles and, especially, in-person communities. 

>>Do we have examples from other movements in the past that grew geographically disconnected through small communities and achieved their goals or managed to change the game?... (read more)

>>A hybrid of your approach (that could be logistically easier to implement) could be (for example): running a hiring round to select highly agentic and motivated scrappy generalist students, placing them in a non-profit that needs them to work online (because that's where most of the work is), and then placing them in hubs for socialising in the movement and participating in the actions that are happening. They could take on a lead role in organising protests/Revolutionist nights and the like, while they are in the hub, while working 9-5 in an effec... (read more)

Fair thoughts, thanks for the input! A few responses here:

>>I was a bit surprised by the "steep dropoff after graduation" claim. I think this is very likely to be true, but this could give the - very false - impression that there are many motivated students in the movement, which is not what I've observed.

I do think there are a lot of motivated students in the movement though, particularly in the US and UK (I'm less sure about other countries). Though perhaps to your point, even in these countries I think these students tend not to actually be gettin... (read more)

Thanks for your input!

>>I would add public institutions to the mix. Internships in regional / federal governments, or international organisations. They tend to have already good systems to run internships. 

Seems like a good idea! I'd particularly be keen to see interns placed with some animal-sympathetic politician for one of their placements, as that could build some pretty useful skills. Are there other potential placements here in the realm of public institutions that you see making sense?

>>I wonder, where does this hunch (or knowledge)... (read more)

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Victoria Gastón
Hey Haven! Oh so much to discuss, I love it! More ideas for internships and on-site experiences:  Actually, working for a politician is one particular idea I hadn´t thought of! Internships in political parties with a strong animal rights department would be a good option too. A long shot, but maybe also universities, some young people might be thinking of whether academia and research is a good fit for them, and having a short period of time in a lab or following a researcher would be helpful. I will keep brainstorming. Regarding remote jobs  I might have been looking for narrow type of jobs that offer  remote options but only within a country, or a metropolitan area. For instance: most EU-related jobs (I am a lawyer specialised in EU law) lead to Brussels´s metropolitan area. What I have also observed is that the tag "remote" on job offers is not as remote as it seems regardless of the branch (sales, marketing, compliance, operations). For instance, today in Tälist I found this remote job but only for Austria and Bavaria, or this 100% remote job in Poland. In the AAC´s job board today, this remote job only within Italy, or this job that once you go to the actual job post is Hybrid and based in New York. Of course I understand it´s hard for organizations managing job boards to check every single job post and remove "remote" for the jobs that aren´t so remote as they seem, or they might not want to limit the job results by asking the users to choose their country or city. On the Alt-Proteins world, which is the other career path I have been considering during 2024: Tälist´s report summarizes this on page 14. "b. REMOTE POLICIES The job board data reveals that nearly 27% of job postings are hybrid roles. Fully remote positions, however, represent only 4.5% of the total postings. In contrast, on-site roles dominate the landscape, making up approximately 69% of all job listings, indicating a strong preference among employers for in-person work environments." From:

Of course, and thank you for the kind words Sarah!

Hey, just chiming in here on behalf of the organization I co-founded (Fish Welfare Initiative). We went through AIM’s charity incubation program in 2019—their first formal cohort.

The following are a couple points I had:

1 - Echoing requests for evidence

As some people have already commented above, insofar as you have serious criticisms about various charities (CE or otherwise) it’d be helpful for you to provide some evidence for them.

In particular, it’d be interesting to learn more why you think AAC is “okay”, why Animal Ask “hasn’t had much impact”, and/or ... (read more)

I'll say something I said to Joey in this thread early - I expect that the best animal charities in the future will come out of AIM, but it will come with a lot of avoidable waste of funds and talent due to the things related to my concerns. I think AIM focusing on their skills at incubating charities, and less on what I believe are weaknesses or threats (coordinating donors and research), would be much better for the space.

Thanks Joel! And same to you—hope the research is going well

Thanks Ben! Yeah, I think we are often focusing more on the 1.1M we feel like we should have added to that, but definitely feels good to have had that impact still :)

Thanks for posting this! I'm obviously biased (I work at Fish Welfare Initiative), but I think it's really important that people have a more intuitive understanding of the suffering these animals endure.

In addition to FWI, I wanted to highlight a few other organizations that people might be interested in looking into if they want to donate to help mitigate the horrors of this ongoing atrocity:

- Eurogroup for Animals
- Compassion in World Farming
- Aquatic Life Institute
- Equalia
- Animal Equality UK
- Albert Schweitzer Foundation

Hey Nuño, thanks for doing this! This is interesting to see.

Fwiw, your placement of FWI in the ranking here broadly tracks with my own impressions of it, specifically that we're currently about an order of magnitude less effective than what I view as some of the currently most effective organizations. (This is of course something we're working to improve.)

2
NunoSempere
Thanks! If there are similar estimates that would be useful for you and wouldn't take too much time on my side, happy to be reached out to.  One order of magnitude isn't that much, particularly given that these estimates are super speculative, and that it's relatively early days for FWI.

You're very kind Andres. We're very grateful for what SWP does as well!

Seeing people take an idea from scratch and go out into the world to implement it is one of the things that inspires me most about many people in EA. Props to you all for having the audacity to do this, and more importantly props for building one of the most promising early-stage NGOs this community has created

I've enjoyed reading your work occasionally throughout the year—interesting stuff.

As a general point, posts like this push back against the seeming increasingly popular narrative that EA isn't funding constrained right now. Or more specifically, this post speaks to the fact that we can have a load of money but not be distributing it adequately to all the small non-profits (like SI) that could make good use of it.

Ali
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Thanks, Haven. Yes, it could be a distribution issue. As noted to Max, we get quite a bit of funding, but each hiring round SI receives a large pool of very strong researcher applicants, and we would love to hire more of them. Also, our approach isn't very well-established in the cause areas of either longtermism or animal advocacy, and it can be particularly challenging to fundraise at the intersection of cause areas (as noted by New Harvest here).

Fish Welfare Initiative is now live on every.com! Thanks @WilliamKiely for making us aware of this opportunity.

https://www.every.org/fishwelfareinitiative/f/improve-the-welfare-of-farmed-fish-in-india

Do the fund managers ever do fun things together?? :)

Unfortunately, not yet. Pandemic certainly makes it harder. I would be keen for an in-person meet up at some point! 

Also, I whole-heartedly blame Jonas for not enough fun. Readers are generally encouraged to please aggressively contact and petition him on our behalf about making things more fun :)

What are your favorite productivity tips?

I made a doc on this a while ago! :) 

Here are my not very informed guesses at where some of the bigger possible productivity gains include:

Also, recommend Lynette Bye's interview with Lewis on this.

What books do you most recommend for someone looking to spend their career fighting for animals?

We think that this list on EA Forum hits some of the best-written works to date. For books, specifically, here are some that we’d recommend: 

... (read more)

The recent grantees are very welfare-reform heavy, and there are relatively few organizations here who are taking an abolitionist approach (even though many, like THL, advocate achieving abolition through welfare reforms). This portfolio of grantees is fairly common in EA giving: Welfare reform organizations are invested in very heavily right now (for which they're all very grateful :).

I sometimes get concerned though that our movement puts too great of confidence in incremental welfare reforms as like "the best thing", thus stifling innovation. I feel thi... (read more)

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kierangreig🔸
> To what extent do you worry that we're underinvesting in approaches outside of incremental welfare reform work right now?  Hmmm… I think it is fair to say that this isn’t in my top-tier of worries. Some things that inform that take are: * Some other major funders, that I am aware of through FAF, focus more on non-incremental welfare stuff but at the same time seem aligned with some principles of EA  * As other funders focus more on it, the movement as a whole seems to adequately experiment with and explore some things that look promising from that perspective. E.g., I have been somewhat interested in institutional meat reduction work, or on more generalized field-building stuff, and some documentary efforts.  * Even within EA aligned funders/ orgs a significant amount of that focused on alt-proteins.  * Underappreciated but welfare stuff should increase price which can be useful for longer term decreases in demand  * A decent number of the now welfaristy groups seem interested in doing some more abolitionist things, but we just haven’t identified much with a proven track record outside of corporate welfare reforms right now. If we were, I would expect them to be interested in doing that.  * I would add that under your definition we have historically funded some of those efforts abolitionist efforts, eg. Crustacean Compassion working on legal recognition of sentience of some crustacean, or legal ban on cages for eggs-laying hens are good examples of more "abolition-like" approaches that we still consider good opportunities. > Do you have any sense for when (if not now) we might reach that point where it makes more sense to invest in more abolitionist approaches? To some extent, this whole endeavor is like a multi-armed bandit. Using that analogy, I feel across the movement we are adequately pulling on the abolitionist levers. But we are just yet to see much in terms of payouts or signs of payouts from them. If we were to see better payouts or signs of, th

What approaches or ideas do you wish the animal welfare fund would have invested more heavily in sooner?

To some extent, we are only able to work with what is available to grant to. And I think we have been pretty good at granting to things as soon as they’re ready. But we could probably have done more to get some projects/NGOs ready for grants. 

So the main thing that comes to mind when I think about this, is I think we probably should have started doing more active grantmaking sooner. That would look like us more actively trying to bring new promising projects into existence. And note that could be either through seeding new groups or having existing gr... (read more)

Do you think industrial factory farming will ever end? If so, when do you think it will?

By end I mean something like there are like 95% fewer animals being farmed, and the ones that are farmed are farmed in more natural, extensive system (e.g. pastures or extensive fish ponds).

 

And do you think animal farming will ever end? If so, when do you think it will?

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kierangreig🔸
I would be pretty surprised if I was somehow resurrected, or otherwise able to observe, millions of years from now and factory farming was still happening!  In terms of probabilistic predictions as to the chance that factory farming is still around x years from now, I think mine pretty roughly looks like some exponentially decaying function. If you want to model it, I would put P0 at 1 and alpha at ~0.988.  So, I’d guess there are decent chances forms of it are still around at the end of this century, but 200 years from now, I think there are pretty good chances that we will have ended it :)

Are there ideas or approaches that you would have liked to seen receive funding, but where there weren't any or sufficiently strong enough proposals?

More generally, what do you think our movement is neglecting right now?

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Marcus_A_Davis
I would like to see more applications in the areas outlined in our RFP and I’d encourage anyone with interest in working on those topics to contact us. More generally, I would like to see far more people and funding engaged in this area. Of course, that’s really difficult to accomplish. Outside of that, I’m not sure I’d point to anything in particular.

Thanks for this post!

I shared it in a slack group, and someone asked the following question:

Hi, I'm a little unclear regarding the impact of donations for the oxygen cylinders versus focused Social Media / lobbying efforts to thank and encourage medical gas companies such as Air Liquide to do more to help out. My inclination is lobbying could be much higher leverage than donations; what do you think?
 


I understand the question to be about the value of taking action/volunteering vs. the value of donating (noting that we can do both).

Do you have an opinion on the impact of this sort of action?

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manyag
Really interesting point! I think the first thing I have to agree on is doing both is ideal,  but if you need to pick, people should think about their comparative advantage. If you work with or know people at medical gas companies who could be convinced by your lobbying efforts, your time and resources are probably really effective when it comes to convincing them to supply here. The largest difficulty is certainly sourcing medical oxygen for hospital usage, and this is going to be really effective if it works out. If you have the ability to donate and earn to give, and can maybe tweet once about medical gas but don't have the ability or capacity to try to meet and convince higher-ups in the companies, then donating is probably better as a focus area. 

Could you please rename Fish Welfare Initiative? Initiative is also really hard to spell.

9[anonymous]
We could embrace "intitiative," which I type at least twice a day.
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Guy Raveh
I would propose to unite all animal welfare orgs under one umbrella and call it HappyFarm.

How about Caring Tuna? This would surely get support from Open Phil

Thanks so much alexrjl! I sent you a private message

I think it's good to have a balance.

It's about balancing the ad to appeal to both A) really talented/good fit people who may have other options but are more likely to apply if they see they check a ton of boxes, and B) the talented but less apparently a great fit applicants (which you may want to cater to if you're not finding enough of the first type, and also because the best applicants don't always look that way on paper). And of course demographic/diversity reasons push the balance somewhat more towards B.

We did end up going with a few "requirements" and a longer list of "good to haves", and I think that worked well. Will do again in the future.

For some reason we did not consider compensating them for their time (probably due to our generally tight startup budget), although we probably will in the future. Thanks for the suggestion!

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Larks
You could still compensate them! I'm sure they would appreciate your reaching out with retrospective compensation, although obviously the signalling value to this set of applicants would be lost.

Thanks for the advice! I think #3 in particular is important, as it's easy for someone trying to be nice to cause even more issues by not being sufficiently clear or blunt

I think these are all valid points, and yeah the words are just stereotypes. Worth using caution with these sorts of simplistic decoders (but I still think they're somewhat helpful). I think you could probably pay for a better one but I doubt that's worth the money.

We did also ask people of different genders to review the ad before putting it out, and I definitely think that was worth the time cost.

Thanks for the report!

I'm interested in whether I should avoid honey consumption personally (and if so, how vocal I should be). Aside from the article you cited from Michael Greger, do you have an opinion or further evidence one way or the other on this?˙

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Jason Schukraft
Hi Haven! Thanks for the question. I don’t have an all-things-considered view on whether a given individual should avoid honey. It’s a complicated issue. Here are some thoughts: First, to simplify, I’ll assume that you only care about welfare and thus I’ll set any deontological considerations to the side. Next, you should ask yourself whether you think bees are likely to lead net-negative lives. The standard argument (note: I’m not endorsing the argument here) for the position that insects lead net-negative lives appeals to the fact that most insects have a huge number of young that don’t survive to adulthood. That’s not the case for honey bees. Juvenile mortality in honey bees is fairly low, probably no more than about 30%. Every colony has so-called ‘nurse bees’ that oversee feeding the larvae. That said, honey bees are hard workers their whole lives (aside from a small number of drones), and it’s not uncommon for beekeepers to claim that honey bees literally work themselves to death. Next, you should ask yourself what type of honey you’re considering eating. Bees thrive when colonies have plenty of space and access to a wide variety of natural forage. Bees suffer when they’re hauled hundreds of miles in cramped trucks then stuffed in monocultural, pesticide-ridden agricultural landscapes. In most regions, there are plenty of small, local honey producers that treat their bees well, or at least as well as you can if you’re in the honey business. There’s no general label for this type of honey, but it’s often called “wildflower honey.” If you’re unsure about how the honey is produced, you can sometimes find good information by browsing the producer’s website or, if you’re at a farmer’s market, talking to the beekeeper directly. Finally, you should ask yourself a number of consistency questions. Are you a vegan? Is it easier to keep to a vegan diet if you don’t carve exceptions for yourself? Is it easier to explain your dietary restrictions (and avoid charge of

Thanks for the report!

I'm interested in whether I should avoid honey consumption personally (and if so, how vocal I should be). Aside from the article you cited from Michael Greger, do you have an opinion or further evidence one way or the other on this?

Thanks Sam for mentioning us! I'm half the co-founding team of Fish Welfare Initiative (ie one of the fish people), and we are now looking for funding. If you're interested, you can check out our website or email me directly.

At the moment, we're looking to fill a roughly $30K funding gap to get us to June.

I went through the program last year and found it useful (I'm now launching Fish Welfare Initiative). I'd be happy to talk with anyone if they have questions about what it's like on the inside

Ditto on this - I went through the program and am working on tobacco policy, happy to chat with folks who want to ask about what it's like

Hey, thanks for doing that Em! And we're currently not accepting public donations :)

UPDATE: We are now looking to fundraise to fill our funding gap until June, and would love to connect with donors who may be interested. Feel free to reach out to me at haven@fishwelfareinitiative.org

Thanks for this awesome tool! The links here are bringing me to a "This item might not exist or is no longer available" page. Is there a newer version published?

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kbog
Yes, I am killing old files and now have just have a permanent link to the newest version. Sorry for the confusion. See here: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/bmyeaTjGFB4LKjKyg/new-and-improved-candidate-scoring-system

John Oliver (the comedian) did this piece on chicken farming. It's the best attempt I know of to broadcast how terrible chicken farming is to the public, and completely stays away from animal welfare issues.