How much do you think CE can effectively grow? Are the limits for growth in promising applicants, outreach, seed funding, charity ideas, diminishing returns for training, or something else entirely?
This is great! I find this extremely important, and I agree that we have a lot of room to improve. Thank you for the clear explanation and the great suggestions.Further ideas:
Do you mind expanding a bit on CNS Imaging, Entropy for Intentional content, and Graph Traversal?
No, the analysis does not seem to contain what I was going for.
Curious about what you think is weird in the framing?
This is not quite what I was going for, even though it is relevant. This problem profile focuses on existing institutions and on methods for collective decision making. I was thinking more in the spirit of market design, where the goal is to generate new institutions with new structures and rules so that people are selfishly incentivised to act in a way which maximizes welfare (or something else).
Governance innovation as a cause area
Many people are working on new governance mechanisms from an altruistic perspective. There are many sub-categories such as Charter cities, space governance, decentralized governance, RadicalXChange agenda..
I'm uncertain as to the marginal value in such projects, and I'd like to see a broad analysis that can serve as a good prior and analysis framework for specific projects.
An analysis of how knowledge is constructed in the EA community, and how much weight we should assign to ideas "supported by EA".
The recent question on reviews by non-EA researchers is an example of that. There might be great opportunities to improve EA intellectual progress.
What do you mean by "star ratings"?
And do you perhaps look for Guide Star?
Really appreciate the work that you are putting into this app, and this write-up. I'm excited by your app, and hope that it will help a lot of people to solve their sleeping problems! John Halstead also wrote a post on CBT-i a while ago, and while I assume that you've reached it independently, it's great to see attempt at real-world solutions and impact assessments.
There are two points that I think are missing from your analysis. First, regarding Tractability, I'm curious as to what would cause people with insomnia to seek help and find the CBT app. That is, even if CBT is very effective, it might still be very hard to reach people and to put the treatment in practice.
Second, I'd like to see an assessment of the marginal contribution for Slumber over existing efforts. There seem to be other apps for CBT-i.
Thanks again! I've suggested Slumber for a friend to try out :)
Thanks for this post, fascinating read!
Considering the hypothesis given here, I'm curious as to why we don't see more takeovers today. There are countries and small corporations involved in inner conflicts that I expect (following this post) a small but powerful organisation (or a large nation) could take over. Some reasons that we may not see this -