This 2015 post by Rob Wiblin (One of the top-voted in that year) is a nice example of how the community is actively cohesive
The talk is here
[a brief note on altruistic coordination in EA]
There's bound to be a massive room for improvement, a clear goal of what would be the best outcome considering a distribution as above, a way of measuring where we're at, an analysis of where we are heading under the current status (an implicit parliamentary model perhaps?), and suggestions for better mechanisms and norms that result from the analysis.
This is interesting. Do you have specific example in mind where this can be applied to an EA cause?
This reminds me of the discussion around the Hinge of History Hypothesis (and the subsequent discussion of Rob Wiblin and Will Macaskill).
I'm not sure that I understand the first point. What sort of prior would be supported by this view?
The second point I definitely agree with, and the general point of being extra careful about how to use priors :)
Jaime Sevilla wrote a long (albeit preliminary) and interesting report on the topic
right, sorry 😊
EAHub has a large and growing list of resources collected and written for local groups.
I think so. While the main value of research lies in it's value of information, the problem here seems to be about how to go about estimating the impact and not so much about the modeling.
Thanks. I'd be very excited to see a full post considering this set of ideas as a cause area proposal, possibly using the ITN framework, if you or anyone else is up to it.
I think that the discourse in EA is too thin on these topics, and that perhaps some posts exploring the basics while considering the effects of marginal contribution might be the way to see whether we should consider them worthwhile. I think this makes this post somewhat premature, although I appreciate the suggested terminology and the succinct but informative writing.