Isaac King

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Stuff I buy and use: a listicle to boost your consumer surplus and productivity

I have the opposite issue with my Macbook: The screen brightness settings range only from "bright" to "extremely bright". When I'm using it in a dark room I'd like to be able to dim the screen down to a reasonable level, but that's simply not possible.

What are some high-EV but failed EA projects?

Carrick Flynn's congressional campaign just failed.

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Qi9nnrmjwNbBqWbNT/the-best-usd5-800-i-ve-ever-donated-to-pandemic-prevention

What examples are there of (science) fiction predicting something strange/bad, which then happened?

This appears to be a list of all science fiction technology, even if it doesn't exist in real life. For example I see "antigravity" on this list.

Twitter-length responses to 24 AI alignment arguments

Just pick a human to upload and let them recursively improve themselves into an SAI. If they're smart enough to start out with, they might be able to keep their goals intact throughout the process.

 

(This isn't a strategy I'd choose given any decent alternative, but it's better than nothing. Likely to be irrelevant though, since it looks like we're going to get GAI before we're even close to being able to upload a human.)

Twitter-length responses to 24 AI alignment arguments

Any atom that isn't being used in service of the AI's goal could instead be used in service of the AI's goal. Which particular atoms are easiest to access isn't relevant; it will just use all of them.

Nuclear Preparedness Guide

For comparison, this analysis finds a 0.4% yearly risk, which is in line with the EA survey and other estimates I've seen, so I'm strongly inclined to think that the 0.1%-1% order of magnitude is the correct place to be.

Mosul Dam Could Kill 1 Million Iraqis.

>A visual depiction of what it could potentially look like from the ground if the Mosul Dam were to collapse.

This link appears to be broken, it just links back to this page.

Risks from Asteroids

we know that the chance of an Earth-impact for asteroids 1-10km in diameter is about 1 in 6,000, and about 1 in 1.5 million for asteroids larger than 10km across

I don't know how I'm supposed to interpret this statistic without a time frame. Is this supposed to be per century?

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