EIC, In Development. Formerly horizon scanning @ Ren Phil, research fellow @ Open Phil. Mostly on Twitter.
I would say "having roughly similar migration as several other rich countries" does mean not "open borders", as I think few people would claim that open borders is currently the state of entrance into most rich countries. (Certainly, as an immigrant in the UK, it has not been my experience.)
In answer to those points:
About one in four UK tourist visas is refused, which does not seem that easy. The UK has a relatively small number of migrants that arrive by sea, compared to other European countries with a long coastline. About half of asylum applications are denied. Most denied asylum seekers then leave the country.
So I stand by "open borders seems like quite the exaggeration".
You're correct that I accidentally used the 2023 work visa total instead of 2024 work visa total.
I'll edit. As per my bug bounty policy, I'll also donate $10 to a charity of your choice: https://www.laurenpolicy.com/p/announcing-a-bug-bounty-for-this
That being said, I am relatively unconcerned about the fiscal effects of this given 1) dependents are allowed to work in the UK (unlike in the US), 2) cohort wages look decent through 2023, and 3) labor force participation for non-UK born remains higher than for the UK born (through 2025).
I think the most surprising thing is that Founder Mode is real? I am spending so much time sweating the tiny details and honestly it's really fun.
It's been definitely easier than I expected; particularly, I expected to have a hard time convincing people to contribute to a new magazine, but I've been amazed how willing people have been.