Me and @Fran are interviewing @GraceAdams🔸 tomorrow evening. Is there anything you'd like us to ask her? 

 

Such as, for example, the Effective Altruism Forum :)

I’m curating this post.

Firstly because it makes a useful and well backed up point - that stable population estimates are a misleading input into your analyses.

Secondly because: We often extoll the values of pretty shallow fermi-estimate style analyses. This post is a helpful counter-weight against the BOTEC blasé: some inputs are uncertain enough that we should (a) investigate them further, even for a quick BOTEC and/or (b) remember that the output of our analyses could change radically based on tweaking a few assumptions.

Thanks Abraham and Mal!

Just under a month until the Cluelessness Critiques Competition deadline. How's it going? Any hints on what people are writing about? 

Actually, we don't downrank them, we just auto-tag them as AI-generated (although this one hasn't run automatically- doh)

She had to delay so it's not too late, but I already included that exact question :) 

I'm recording a podcast (TWCBB) with @Lauren Gilbert [edit: we had to reschedule so I can still collect questions]. If there's anything you'd like us to ask her, comment here.

My guess is that politician's staffers read it, and also that it elevates the status of the authors such that they are likelier to be taken on to advise. I presume it's less likely Daniel Kokatajlo would have been interviewed by Bernie Sanders if he hadn't written AI 2027. 

The smart thing in the framing here is that politicians will soon (hopefully) be reaching for more comprehensive plans on what to do about AI. And this is called 'Plan A'. So it's not crazy to think that something like this may end up influencing legislation. 
 

Thanks Austin, I'll pass this on (I'm guessing this is a refactor bug)

I'm curating this because aligning AI for the benefit of animals is a valuable and under-discussed problem, this is a valuable investigation, and I'd love to see it discussed further.