All of ludwigbald's Comments + Replies

I have too many EA T-shirts from conferences. What should I do with them?

On further googling, there is actually an active proposal by the Commission!
The proposed directive introduces a new type of legal form (the "European cross-border association"), which will make it a lot easier for non-profits to operate across the entire EEA.

However, at this stage, the issue of taxation is not addressed. The European Parliament is expected to work on the proposal before the election next year, so now may be a good time to call further attention to this :)

1
Denis
4mo
Wow, I hadn't heard that. That's good news.  Indeed, let's see what we can do to impact this! 

I looked into this for a few hours a while ago - it's crazy to me that Cross-Border commerce is so easy in the EU, but tax-deductible cross-border donations are not.

I think there should be a push for harmonizing EU rules on tax-deductibility. Two scenarios:

  1. You could make anything that's deemed a charity/public benefit in an EU country automatically deductible everywhere.
  2. Or, if member states can't agree on criteria, create a new legal status for some orgs that means they are automatically deemed public benefit by any EU country. Ideally, this status would also be available to non-EU entities.

I would like to make this happen, but I have no idea how.

1
Denis
4mo
Soon we'll have a critical mass of people interested enough to make it happen! I'm looking to find out more about who specifically would need to be convinced, and who would need to be involved to make it happen. I presume it's something that would have to be led out of Brussels (where I live), but it's not immediately obvious who (or even what DG of the Commission) would be involved. But I'm sure someone would know, and we can then start pushing to make it happen. It's such an obvious, positive step that it's hard to imagine anyone objecting with the possible exception of existing charities who benefit from these exclusive rights - but I have enough faith that most people working in charities are not the type who would object to enabling others to get tax-benefits to achieve really important and impactful goals. 

Do you have any takes on insect farming? There's a company that sells protein powder made from crickets, and they basically claim they feel no pain and are super efficient. Could that be on the same scale or even better than vegan protein powder, made from e.g. peas?

https://eatsens.com/pages/cricket-protein

5
niplav
5mo
Tomasik 2019, Tomasik 2017a and Tomasik 2017b argue against this: * Even if insects are unlikely to be sentient, assuming marginally decreasing sentience with neuron count and nonzero probability of insect sentience imply that eating bigger animals is probably better. * The conditions of insects in insects farming are pretty bad. * Eating plants is usually more efficient.
3
MathiasKB
5mo
I'm quite excited about cricket protein! Nutritionally it's superior to vegan protein supplements, especially for people who are otherwise vegan and won't get animal protein. My intuition is that it very much comes down to whether one views an undisturbed cricket life as net-positive or negative. A cricket farm breeds millions of crickets in a 6 week cycle where the crickets are frozen to death not long before they naturally would die of old age. Rethink Priorities recently incubated the insect institute who I think are exploring insect sentience. They're more qualified to speak on this than I am. EDIT: turns out I don't know shit about crickets or nutrition. Rethink has a cool report on insect farming, also points out my claim on their death being soon before natural old age is likely wrong. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ruFmR5oBgqLgTcp2b/insects-raised-for-food-and-feed-global-scale-practices-and#Cricket_farming_practices_and_conditions

I wonder what EV projects the money was dedicated for. Which project actually ended up with a budget shortfall?

4
Jason
5mo
It's in Doc. 3745 -- this is for the EV US settlement only, the earmarks for the smaller EV US settlement are not included. TL;DR: Mostly CEA and Longview with 2.5MM for Atlas Fellowship, about 750K each for LTFF and GWWC.  Someone needs to confirm whether ordinary donor funds might be used to cover any charge to LTFF, as that might influence some folks' end of year decisions. Edit: Zach confirmed they will not.

I very much agree, and I believe the whole community needs to think about our values. Every local group or other EA group should agree on some values and live by them.

Charity Navigator has published a list of trustworthy, disaster relief organizations working in the area: https://www.charitynavigator.org/discover-charities/where-to-give/israel-hamas-conflict/

They only evaluated one organization for impact and gave it a perfect score, but don't show their work: https://www.charitynavigator.org/ein/453782061

Knowing nothing else, you could select a few promising orgs from that bucket, but I wouldn't give them the label of being "highly effective". Maybe the best thing to do is even to support groups in Israel that advocate... (read more)

I really like this frame of "given these constraints, how can we do the most good?", and I think EA doesn't do enough of that.

Giving the standard EA answer: Usually, people in crisis situations are less neglected than the global poor, that also lack access to clean water and healthcare. Right now, millions of people are thinking about how they can help Palestinians. So you should still prefer donating to e.g. GiveWell recommendations.

However, that misses the point that there are cheap effectiveness improvements you can unlock by slightly improving your friends' decision making and having them select a better Palestinian org.

First, some terminology: cash transfers are an intervention within the Cause Area of extreme poverty.

Their effectiveness needs to be compared to other available interventions. GiveWell is an organization that does just that, and they found bednets much more effective than cash transfers. I suppose many EAs choose to follow GiveWell on these judgements.

While Give Directly is definitely awesome and more effective than most charities, they don't really put together a convincing argument that they are more effective than bednets in this post. In general, I do ... (read more)

5
JWS
6mo
Thanks for the comment ludwig :) So I do sympathise with what you say, though I think that differences between Givewell, GiveDirectly, and the Happier Lives Institute are perhaps better modelled as disagreements about what counts as value (lives saved/QALY vs autonomy vs happiness as a gross oversimplification) than how to count it. I think another thing that I'm slightly suspicious of here is the rigorous demands for GiveDirectly to show their workings vs bednets in this thread, but very little of the same rigour seems to apply to work in AI Safety for example - can those organisations show that their work is more effective than closing AMF's funding gap, or massively scaling up cash transfers to end extreme poverty? If we instead are justifying AI Safety work from a more pluralistic 'basket of moral goods' perspective, then I think GiveDirectly does well under that framing too.

The Problem isn't that they make money from their superior product. The problem, as I understand, is that they use an unethical business model to do so, heavily distorting the options available to doctors and locking them into using their product.

At the very least, I think they should openly justify their pricing strategy. The public and Danaher's customers should know about their profits, per-machine and per-test, so they can negotiate fairer deals.

I suppose the question then is: does EA bring out the best in people? If not, how can we empower community members to be their best self in an EA context?

For example, community members should notice when they're not being their best self, and have enough agency to change the causes for that.

Thank you for doing this important work! I especially like that you're proactively creating structures that decrease interpersonal risk.

1
Milena Canzler
8mo
Thanks a lot for the encouragement, Ludwig! :)

I would like to be able to subscribe to notifications for sequences like this one: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/FxFwhFG227F6FgnKk

4
Sarah Cheng
23d
Just letting you know that you can now subscribe to be notified when posts are added to a sequence. Hope this is helpful, and let me know if you run into any issues!
2
JP Addison
11mo
Thanks for the suggestion! I have also wanted this. My suggested bad workaround is to subscribe to posts by the author, often for the duration of the sequence the author is only posting posts to that sequence.

I'm happy to see that the increased community focus on gender diversity seems to be paying off, that's a healthy increase!

There's still quite a way to go to gender equality though. If you want to forecast on where it will go, I have a market: https://manifold.markets/LudwigBald/in-2025-what-percentage-of-eas-are It currently predicts 36% non-male survey respondents by 2025

Community notes are great, even though they are (still?) restricted to the US. The good thing is that they seem to work fast enough so most tweet impressions are actually annotated.

Hey, there's a new university around!

EAs have long floated the idea of starting or buying a university, but a group of sustainability activists and experts has actually done so. It's privately funded, accredited in Germany, offers bachelor's, master's and MBA degrees. Teaching is online-only, I suppose for cost savings and global inclusivity.

What do you think?

tomorrow.university

A year later, it seems like Elon does not value sane discussion on the Birdsite. If he does, he can't change Twitter too much, because he is under a lot of pressure to make money. This is the fundamental problem with modern ad-supported social media - The business model is not aligned with users, and there's not really an easy way of escaping this.

5
MaxRa
1y
How do you evaluate community notes? Multiple times they have given me fairly informative context on some viral tweets, and it seems like they were introduced under Musk.

EA Germany board members are voted into office by members (aka the community). The board is formally responsible to ordinary community members, and they need to explain their actions. So the remaining board members would at the very least face questions. It's not a complete fix of course, but I think it could have helped.

2
britomart
1y
That sounds like a very sensible set-up (aside from anything else, presumably it significantly lessens the chances of a "surprise! we bought an abbey" moment).

Would the board normally face questions if someone left? Especially if they [edit: as in "the person leaving"] clearly had other big things they were working on?

As a community member, reading this kind of marketing language being applied to me is kind of uncomfortable. I want to be enabled, not persuaded.

This general approach still makes sense, so I think it should still be applied when doing outreach or planning events. But please don't forget there are people on the other side.

It's important that community members feel valued even if they don't seem likely to have massive impact!

3
Aaron_Scher
1y
I agree that persuasion frames are often a bad way to think about community building. I also agree that community members should feel valuable, much in the way that I want everybody in the world to feel valued/loved. I probably disagree about the implications, as they are affected by some other factors. One intuition that helps me is to think about the donors who donate toward community building efforts. I expect that these donors are mostly people who care about preventing kids from dying of malaria, and many donors also donate lots of money towards charities that can save a kid’s like for $5000. They are, I assume, donating toward community building efforts because they think these efforts are on average a better deal, costing less than $5000 for a live saved in expectation. For mental health reasons, I don’t think people should generally hold themselves to this bar and be like “is my expected impact higher than where money spent on me would go otherwise?” But I think when you’re using other peoples altruistic money to community build, you should definitely be making trade offs, crunching numbers, and otherwise be aiming to maximize the impact from those dollars. Furthermore, I would be extremely worried if I learned that community builders aren’t attempting to quantify their impact or think about these things carefully (noting that I have found it very difficult to quantify impact here). Community building is often indistinguishable (at least from the outside) from “spending money on ourselves” and I think it’s reasonable to have a super high bar for doing this in the name of altruism. Noting again that I think it’s hard to balance mental health with the whacky terrible state of the world where a few thousand dollars can save a life. Making a distinction between personal dollars and altruistic dollars can perhaps help folks preserve their mental health while thinking rigorously about how to help others the most. Interesting related ideas: https://www.lesswr
4
Patrick Gruban
1y
I agree that community members should feel valued. At the same time, I don't think this model changes much in that services for community members have always been discriminatory. Not everyone is accepted for 80k calls, EAG(x) conferences or retreats. While it's important to have open local groups, I think having clearer priorities on national or international services seems less exclusive.

I'm not familiar with your work so far, but there definitely is room for developing and advertising "EA for Normal People". I think there's value in addressing the very practical problems of doing EA: it's weird, it can be expensive, it's hard to stay motivated, the community is brainy, people won't believe your motivations, you have many existing commitments already.

I think the book might benefit from focusing on a target audience.

As a prolific writer of blogs, you seem to be in a very good position to also write a book. Good luck!

Is this the time to bring up better governance again? Why do we allow CEA to be part of a foundation, controlling community assets without community oversight?

If there was functional community oversight (like e.g. EA Germany has), we would know exactly why SBF was forced out of EVF (then CEA) board.

Can you say more about how this works with organizations like EA Germany? I don't know anything about SBF leaving the CEA board, but here's a plausible case:

  1. Some people have concerns about him.

  2. They talk quietly among each other.

  3. Someone respected quietly takes SBF aside and says they think he should resign.

  4. He resigns, looking externally like anyone else who leaves the board including for reasons like "I don't have time for this now that my company is growing rapidly".

In this case I think we probably wouldn't learn about 1-3 or the motivation... (read more)

I think this is broadly a correct take. Longtermists care about expected value. Instead, classic EA is about following the evidence.

I perceive this as a very good and thoughtful collection of criticism and good ideas for reform. It's also very long and dense and I'm not sure how to best interact with it.

Hi, I think this is an interesting experiment, but I want to remind readers that this is not a sustainable strategy for learning. You should not compare your typical work day to a well-prepared cramming session.

I think, on the forum, there should be a clearer distinction between people speaking privately or on behalf of their organization.

Maybe org updates should always be posted by an org account.

I thought the video was really good, and I encourage everyone to watch it, if you're interested in how to operate with power.

I also recently started reading "How to Hack your beaurocracy", which seems like a pretty good guide to getting things done in a complex organisation.

2
Christian Pearson
1y
I greatly appreciate that, Ludwig! That book sounds totally up my alley. I will check it out!

I totally agree and I think EA should be less totalizing.

EA indirectly asks us to devalue our own direct communities in order to more effectively help others globally. For most people, this creates a big problem.

I want to see more focus on a version of EA for Normal People.

I have not come across serious abuses of trust, which is surprising even in a high-trustworthiness environment.

For example, actual Fraud can't be at 0% when there's so much money around.

The only example I can think of, SBF, seems thoroughly extradited from EA.

I just want to say that I have been very impressed by your response to my post! I agree, I should have done more fact checking before posting and I should have used more charitable language. This has shaped the debate in a combattive way I didn't intend. I already learned from this and will hold myself to a higher standard in future interactions with the community!

Thanks for holding me to a high standard in return, you have been nothing but nice. This has increased my trust in you personally!

6
Luke Freeman
1y
Thanks very much for writing this - it really made my day to read it 😀 Hope you have a wonderful rest of 2022!
5
Milan_Griffes
1y
... strikes me as "not nice" fwiw, though overall it's been cool to see how you've both engaged with this conversation.

I think that's a good analysis, and I think we should strive to be a high-trust community.

But: you can't just tell people to shut up and simply trust. Trust needs to be earned. One effect of democratic processes is that candidates demonstrate their trustworthiness, so after the democratic process, people can trust them.

Right now, you would ask any new EA community member (and most EAs are new) to "just trust other EAs", on no other basis than "past EAs have been trustworthy".

I can imagine a few things that important figures can do in order to increase thei... (read more)

What specific examples of abuse of trust haven’t been made to be costly do you think should be made to be costly? Why those ones? And how specifically should they be identified or made to be costly? Do you have examples from other communities who’ve done this well in a way that has improved trust and ability to have impact?

I agree with much of this, however, I also don't think we should go around asserting "past EAs have been untrustworthy" based on little evidence nor fact-checking. This does a lot of damage not just to the reputation  of the individuals and organisations (which is important for their impact) but to the high-trust environment that we have right now (which is also important for our community’s impact). We largely have this high-trust environment because it's earned (the reason I trust so many people and organisations is that they've proven to be trustwo... (read more)

I think you're spot on on one disagreement. Let's phrase it even more explicitly: You trust EVF to always make the right calls, even in 10 years from now. I don't.

I believe I have good reasons to assume that even if they have good intentions, they might not act in the community's favor.

I believe I have good reasons to assume that even if they have good intentions, they might not act in the community's favor.

To be clear, the point isn't to act in the community's favor, the point is acting in a way that benefits the good. (It's possible this is what you actually mean and I'm misunderstanding). 

slg
1y15
4
1

Let's phrase it even more explicitly: You trust EVF to always make the right calls, even in 10 years from now.

 

The quote above (emphasis mine) reads like a strawman; I don't think Michael would say that they always make the right call. My personal view is that individuals steering GWWC will mostly make the right decisions and downside risks are small enough not to warrant costly governance interventions.

I'd disagree. Probably Good, a direct competitor to 80k, is overall supported by the community, though it gets less support than 80k.

CEA goes out of their way to solicit competition in their new update. But probably a competitor to CEA would not end up being fiscally sponsored by EVF, and would receive less support than EVF.

However, I think instead of starting new orgs, the EA community should first try to improve the ones we have today.

3
Milan_Griffes
1y
Probably Good is a reasonable counterexample to my model here (though it's not really a direct competitor – they're aiming at a different audience and consulted with 80k on how to structure the project).   It'll be interesting to see how its relationships with 80k and Open Phil develop as we enter a funding contraction. 

This is exactly why I wrote this post. GWWC feels like an innocent community. But GWWC itself states at the bottom of their website that they are "a project of EVF". This is fact, at least in a legal sense.

GWWC is a marketing project, and here's why: GWWC tries to get people to donate more. They try to influence people's spending so more of it goes to effective causes. To me, that's the definition of marketing. The product they are selling is a Donation to EA Funds. It's still marketing if a charity does it.

I don't think the GWWC community is unhappy with ... (read more)

9
Michael_PJ
1y
Perhaps our real disagreement is whether or not we are in a high-trust regime or not: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vXq4ADWzBnwR2nyqE/keep-ea-high-trust I think we clearly are, and so this kind of attitude is costly and unnecessary.

Yeah, I contend that this is only my personal view, and others might be fine with it. From my perspective, GWWC is a marketing project by EVF that builds and shapes a community centered on donating to EA causes (including EVF itself).

Structurally, this is the same type of user community that many for-profit companies cultivate. I do not join such communities, because I refuse to be a marketing vehicle.

More community involvement would lead to decisions that primarily represent the community.

This comment makes me feel like we're living on different planets.

  • GWWC precedes EVF, it is not a "project by EVF", it had its own existence beforehand and has its own leadership and direction. If anything, EVF exists to serve GWWC.
  • GWWC is not a marketing project, that doesn't even make sense to me. EVF doesn't have a product that it's selling to people. The purpose of GWWC is exactly what it says on the tin: getting people to pledge to give more and more effectively. In what way is this marketing for EVF?
  • In what way do the decisions not currently represent
... (read more)

In my view, the correct strategy as a community is to organize, discredit extremists, and trying to keep growing.

I'd like to bring up a further question: What would happen to 80000hours' budget if CEA were to go bankrupt? What would happen to donated money being held by EVF through EA Funds?

Hey, Thank you!

I don't think EA Germany should process donations itself, I'm very happy with the current arrangement. To be fair, this took longer than I expected, but I'm happy that it got done :)

(I'm a voting member, but do not speak for EA Germany e.V.)

Hello,

Thanks for your work and this reply.

1. Yes, seems like an unsupported belief I had. I added a pointer to your comments to the beginning of the post. At the very least, the board continues to uphold their influence over the community and EVF suborgs.

2. That's great to hear! I did not expect them to use their power, but they clearly are able to, if they wanted to.

3. In my view, if GWWC wants to be a community organization, it should be controlled by the community. From a governance perspective, GWWC is as much a community as IKEA's members program. Of course, the GWWC community exists socially, but it does not empower members to shape the organization.

8
Michael_PJ
1y
This seems like a very one-size-fits-all model of what a community is. GWWC is a community of people who commit to effective giving, that is what brings us together. I don't particularly think that the members of GWWC being involved in it's governance would make it more of a community. It is certainly important for there to be some oversight to prevent e.g. accidentally hiring a CEO who takes things off the rails, but I for one am quite happy with the existing board and don't see that it would be significantly improved by more "community involvement".

Hello Michael,

thanks for the thorough reply! I apologize for not contacting you for comment before publishing this post.

You're right, GWWC mentions conflicts of interest on the other page. Sorry for overlooking that and misrepresenting the facts. I don't believe the organizations actively hide their relationship. I'd like to see it mentioned more prominently anyways.

I'm looking forward to the Longtermism Fund's report, glad to hear that it's coming!

On governance/independence: I don't believe GWWC is currently facing significant pressures to act against the... (read more)

Good catch, thank you. EVF/EA Funds asks a huge amount of trust from their donors. I don't think I would recommend donating to them.

I think this largely depends on what you're good at. Studying Biology is a very different experience from studying Bioinformatics.  You can also consider studying public health, which is again very different. Maybe you want to apply to 80000hours.org/speak for counseling :)

2
Eduardo
1y
I have applied, but they rejected me 🙁 I know that it varies greatly from person from person (I have read 80.000 hours' page on personal fit), but what is the best undergraduate degree in general, not taking personal fit into consideration?

I parse the argument as "EA interventions don't have lasting impact. They might prevent some bad things, but they don't fundamentally improve the conditions that cause poverty. People are not kept in poverty because of bad public health in their community, but because of economic factors that disempower them."

And this might well be true. Bednets save the lives of their recipients, but I'm unsure if this leads to a more productive next generation or a more stable political situation.

Basically, live-saved measures are too short-sighted.

2
NickLaing
1y
It's very hard to get clear evidence on this as it's so difficult to assess what actually leads to a more productive next generation, but  there is some evidence focusing on health and education might make a big difference. For example there is evidence that if you have malaria a lot you get iron deficient or anemic and do worse at school. I know this is a lame anecdote, but I can tell you our nurses get malaria a lot and it's bad for productivity! There are some interventions like family planning measures which have even better evidence behind them - smaller family size is associated with higher income on a household level and also faster development on a country measure. Obviously it's not the be all and end all, but there is a decent amount of evidence out there that life-saving and health-improving measures can help assist development.
Answer by ludwigbaldDec 05, 202213
11
4

The EA community should celebrate and amplify non-utilitarian serious do-gooding.

Most suggestions here are disagreed with, but that's hardly enough justification not to push forward on them. Only hardcore EAs vote on the forum, disgruntled EAs would not come across them.

9
Larks
1y
This seems unlikely to be the explanation to me. Voters on the forum frequently give very high karma to highly critical and disgruntled top level posts (indeed, I think it is actually easier to get karma writing such posts than more positive ones). I think the true explanation is probably that going from vague complaints to concrete suggestions makes them much easier to critique and see the problems.

By the way, I think it's really cool of you, Nathan, to nourish this conversation.

I think it's a conversation we should never stop having, and we should create online and offline spaces where it can happen.

6
ludwigbald
1y
Most suggestions here are disagreed with, but that's hardly enough justification not to push forward on them. Only hardcore EAs vote on the forum, disgruntled EAs would not come across them.

There should be a social space for people who leave EA, and it should be easy to leave EA.

The EA community should enter coalitions with other social movements to further our shared goals.

EA community building should be coordinated and funded primarily at the national level

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